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NFL

Austin Ekeler

WAS

Value call

Austin Ekeler has one live pick today: under 7.5 receiving yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
7.4 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.9% · before adjusting for past results 73.0% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -2.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco · Indoor
Mon 19 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
Austin Ekeler
under 7.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 7.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Austin Ekeler is Under 7.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 25, 12:05PM UTC
UNKNOWN
Ekeler logged a three-yard carry and caught both of his targets for four yards during the Commanders' 23-17 loss to the 49ers on Monday.
updated Oct 20, 11:14PM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards73.0%50.9%53.2%2.00+19.8%

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AI Analysis

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San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders: Austin Ekeler Under 7.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The San Francisco 49ers have a strong defense that has struggled against tight ends, but they've also been tough on running backs, where Austin Ekeler plays. With the 49ers' quarterback facing extra rushers quite often, it might be harder for Ekeler to rack up receiving yards. Plus, he's averaged only a handful of carries lately, which could limit his chances to make big plays. On the other side, the Washington Commanders have not been very successful against the spread, and their quarterback has also faced a lot of pressure. Our numbers give a good chance for Ekeler to stay under 7.5 receiving yards. However, if he gets more opportunities than expected, that could lead to a higher total.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD9 lines trackedNo line posted
16%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked9

Austin Ekeler's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 9 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 16%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards4 lines trackedNo line posted
19.5typical line · rushing yds
line range18.5–20.5tips tracked4

Austin Ekeler's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 4 times, typically around a 19.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards1 line trackedNo line posted
7.5typical line · receiving yds
tips tracked1

Austin Ekeler's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 7.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions1 line trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
tips tracked1

Austin Ekeler's NFL receptions prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many rushing yards does Austin Ekeler average?How many receiving yards does Austin Ekeler average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Oct 26 Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers Receiving Yards 7.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
19 Oct 26 Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers Rushing Yards 20.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
19 Oct 26 Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers Rush + Rec Yards 32.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
19 Oct 26 Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers Receptions — — — Pending
19 Oct 26 Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers Rushing Yards — — — Pending
19 Oct 26 Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Austin Ekeler (WAS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Austin Ekeler is Under 7.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.8% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers on Monday 19 October at San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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