Here are our NFL picks for Saturday 3 October 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Minnesota Vikings play Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Over. It was priced at -122 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Houston Texans play Dallas Cowboys in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Houston Texans. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins: Over (-125)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Minnesota Vikings play Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Over. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys: Dallas Cowboys (+120)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Houston Texans play Dallas Cowboys in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Dallas Cowboys. It was priced at +120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys: Dallas Cowboys (+110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Houston Texans play Dallas Cowboys in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Dallas Cowboys. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Washington Commanders play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Indianapolis Colts. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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