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Model picks & player props
Fulham
VS
Aston Villa

Fulham vs Aston Villa Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 28, 5:11AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

Soccer
Villa Park, Birmingham
Outdoor
Sun 28 Sep 2025, 1:00PM
2
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Aston Villa (Draw No Bet)
For Fulham vs Aston Villa (Soccer), model win probability 82.1%, fair odds 1.22, book price -167, model edge +19.6%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 28 Sep 2025, 1:00PM at Villa Park.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Draw No Bet
Aston Villa
-167
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Aston VillaDraw No BetPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScorePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Fulham

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Aston Villa

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Fulham vs Aston Villa: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineFulham @ Aston VillaNo line posted
7-0-1H2H (last 8)
Draw28%Home form11-5-4Away form8-3-9
H2H home wins7 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Aston Villa have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 1. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Draw No BetFulham @ Aston VillaNo line posted
82%Aston Villa win %
7-0-1H2H (last 8)
Home GF/g1.6Away GF/g1.4

Aston Villa to win with the stake returned on a draw; the model prices this at 82%. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreFulham @ Aston VillaNo line posted
58%BTTS %
4 / 8H2H both scored
Aston Vill60%Fulham65%
H2H both scored4 / 8 BTTS

Both teams scored in 60% of Aston Villa's and 65% of Fulham's recent matches; the model prices BTTS Yes at 58% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsFulham @ Aston VillaNo line posted
6 / 8H2H over 2.5
Home ov2.565%Away ov2.565%H2H avg2.9
H2H over 2.56 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.9 goals, over 2.5 in 6 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
2
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
28 Sep 25 Both Teams to Score No ✗ MISS
28 Sep 25 Draw No Bet Aston Villa ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Fulham vs Aston Villa in the Soccer. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Sunday 28 September 2025 at Villa Park. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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