Here are our NFL picks for Tuesday 22 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is MarShawn Lloyd (GB) Over 38.5 Rush + Rec Yards, priced at -115 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

MarShawn Lloyd (GB) Over 38.5 Rush + Rec Yards (-115)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Green Bay Packers play Atlanta Falcons in the NFL on Friday 25 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is MarShawn Lloyd (GB) Over 38.5 Rush + Rec Yards. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jordan Love (GB) Over 0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+101)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Green Bay Packers play Atlanta Falcons in the NFL on Friday 25 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jordan Love (GB) Over 0.5 Interceptions Thrown. It was priced at +101 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Chris Brooks (GB) Under 7.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Green Bay Packers play Atlanta Falcons in the NFL on Friday 25 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Chris Brooks (GB) Under 7.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Chris Brooks (GB) Under 7.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Green Bay Packers play Atlanta Falcons in the NFL on Friday 25 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Chris Brooks (GB) Under 7.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jordan Love (GB) Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-104)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Green Bay Packers play Atlanta Falcons in the NFL on Friday 25 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jordan Love (GB) Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns. It was priced at -104 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jordan Love (GB) Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-106)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Green Bay Packers play Atlanta Falcons in the NFL on Friday 25 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jordan Love (GB) Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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