Here are our NFL picks for Thursday 24 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Josh Allen (BUF) Under 7.5 Rushing Attempts, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Josh Allen (BUF) Under 7.5 Rushing Attempts (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Buffalo Bills play Los Angeles Chargers in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Josh Allen (BUF) Under 7.5 Rushing Attempts. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) Under 123.5 Rush + Rec Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Detroit Lions play New York Jets in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) Under 123.5 Rush + Rec Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Bo Nix (DEN) Under 235.5 Player pass rush yds (-114)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Denver Broncos play Los Angeles Rams in the NFL on Monday 28 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Bo Nix (DEN) Under 235.5 Player pass rush yds. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Christian McCaffrey (SF) Under 54.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

San Francisco 49ers play Arizona Cardinals in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Christian McCaffrey (SF) Under 54.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Christian McCaffrey (SF) Under 54.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

San Francisco 49ers play Arizona Cardinals in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Christian McCaffrey (SF) Under 54.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Cade Otton (TB) Under 2.5 Receptions (+134)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Buccaneers play Minnesota Vikings in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Cade Otton (TB) Under 2.5 Receptions. It was priced at +134 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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