Here are our NFL picks for Sunday 27 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Alvin Kamara (NO) Under 14.5 Receiving Yards, priced at -114 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Alvin Kamara (NO) Under 14.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

New Orleans Saints play Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Alvin Kamara (NO) Under 14.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Laquon Treadwell (IND) Under 17.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Indianapolis Colts play Houston Texans in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Laquon Treadwell (IND) Under 17.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Rome Odunze (CHI) Under 25.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Chicago Bears play Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL on Tuesday 29 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Rome Odunze (CHI) Under 25.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Rome Odunze (CHI) Under 25.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Chicago Bears play Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL on Tuesday 29 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Rome Odunze (CHI) Under 25.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Deshaun Watson (CLE) Over 5.5 Rushing Attempts (-123)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Cleveland Browns play Carolina Panthers in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Deshaun Watson (CLE) Over 5.5 Rushing Attempts. It was priced at -123 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Alvin Kamara (NO) Under 3.5 Receptions (-172)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

New Orleans Saints play Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Alvin Kamara (NO) Under 3.5 Receptions. It was priced at -172 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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