Here are our NFL picks for Saturday 26 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Trevor Lawrence (JAX) Under 32.5 Pass Attempts, priced at -104 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Trevor Lawrence (JAX) Under 32.5 Pass Attempts (-104)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Jacksonville Jaguars play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Trevor Lawrence (JAX) Under 32.5 Pass Attempts. It was priced at -104 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

De'Von Achane (MIA) Under 3.5 Receptions (-109)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Miami Dolphins play Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is De'Von Achane (MIA) Under 3.5 Receptions. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Rome Odunze (CHI) Under 25.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Chicago Bears play Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL on Tuesday 29 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Rome Odunze (CHI) Under 25.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sione Vaki (DET) Under 11.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Detroit Lions play New York Jets in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Sione Vaki (DET) Under 11.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

De'Von Achane (MIA) Under 15.5 Rushing Attempts (-120)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Miami Dolphins play Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is De'Von Achane (MIA) Under 15.5 Rushing Attempts. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kenny Gainwell (TB) Under 2.5 Receptions (-179)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Buccaneers play Minnesota Vikings in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kenny Gainwell (TB) Under 2.5 Receptions. It was priced at -179 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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