Here are our NFL picks for Saturday 19 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Woody Marks (HOU) Under 10.5 Receiving Yards, priced at -114 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Woody Marks (HOU) Under 10.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Houston Texans play Cincinnati Bengals in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Woody Marks (HOU) Under 10.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Gunnar Helm (TEN) Under 2.5 Receptions (+124)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Tennessee Titans play Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Gunnar Helm (TEN) Under 2.5 Receptions. It was priced at +124 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Mark Andrews (BAL) Under 48.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Baltimore Ravens play New Orleans Saints in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Mark Andrews (BAL) Under 48.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Woody Marks (HOU) Under 9.5 Receiving Yards (-108)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Houston Texans play Cincinnati Bengals in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Woody Marks (HOU) Under 9.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ryan Flournoy (DAL) Under 2.5 Receptions (-101)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Dallas Cowboys play Washington Commanders in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ryan Flournoy (DAL) Under 2.5 Receptions. It was priced at -101 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Patrick Mahomes (KC) Under 15.5 Rushing Yards (-108)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Kansas City Chiefs play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Monday 21 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Patrick Mahomes (KC) Under 15.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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