Here are our NFL picks for Monday 21 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Woody Marks (HOU) Under 10.5 Receiving Yards, priced at -114 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Woody Marks (HOU) Under 10.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Houston Texans play Cincinnati Bengals in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Woody Marks (HOU) Under 10.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

David Njoku (LAC) Over 23.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Los Angeles Chargers play Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is David Njoku (LAC) Over 23.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Over 19.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

New England Patriots play Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Over 19.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ryan Flournoy (DAL) Under 28.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Dallas Cowboys play Washington Commanders in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ryan Flournoy (DAL) Under 28.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ryan Flournoy (DAL) Under 2.5 Receptions (-103)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Dallas Cowboys play Washington Commanders in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ryan Flournoy (DAL) Under 2.5 Receptions. It was priced at -103 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Mike Evans (SF) Over 3.5 Receptions (-132)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

San Francisco 49ers play Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Mike Evans (SF) Over 3.5 Receptions. It was priced at -132 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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