Here are our NFL picks for Friday 25 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Jordan Love (GB) Under 2.5 Rushing Attempts, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Jordan Love (GB) Under 2.5 Rushing Attempts (-108)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Green Bay Packers play Atlanta Falcons in the NFL on Friday 25 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jordan Love (GB) Under 2.5 Rushing Attempts. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Daniel Jones (IND) Under 237.5 Player pass rush yds (-112)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Indianapolis Colts play Houston Texans in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Daniel Jones (IND) Under 237.5 Player pass rush yds. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Isaiah Likely (NYG) Under 3.5 Receptions (+104)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

New York Giants play Tennessee Titans in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Isaiah Likely (NYG) Under 3.5 Receptions. It was priced at +104 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

James Cook (BUF) Under 96.5 Rush + Rec Yards (-114)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Buffalo Bills play Los Angeles Chargers in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is James Cook (BUF) Under 96.5 Rush + Rec Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Isaiah Likely (NYG) Under 3.5 Receptions (+103)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

New York Giants play Tennessee Titans in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Isaiah Likely (NYG) Under 3.5 Receptions. It was priced at +103 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Pat Freiermuth (PIT) Under 36.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Steelers play Cincinnati Bengals in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Pat Freiermuth (PIT) Under 36.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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