Here are our NFL picks for Friday 18 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Kalif Raymond (CHI) Over 24.5 Receiving Yards, priced at -115 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Kalif Raymond (CHI) Over 24.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Chicago Bears play Minnesota Vikings in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kalif Raymond (CHI) Over 24.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Josh Allen (BUF) Under 0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-159)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Buffalo Bills play Detroit Lions in the NFL on Friday 18 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Josh Allen (BUF) Under 0.5 Interceptions Thrown. It was priced at -159 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Cole Kmet (CHI) Under 14.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Chicago Bears play Minnesota Vikings in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Cole Kmet (CHI) Under 14.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Patrick Mahomes (KC) Under 16.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Kansas City Chiefs play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Monday 21 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Patrick Mahomes (KC) Under 16.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Mike Evans (SF) Over 3.5 Receptions (-128)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

San Francisco 49ers play Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Mike Evans (SF) Over 3.5 Receptions. It was priced at -128 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Garrett Wilson (NYJ) Under 5.5 Receptions (+102)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

New York Jets play Green Bay Packers in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Garrett Wilson (NYJ) Under 5.5 Receptions. It was priced at +102 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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