Here are our NFL picks for Saturday 3 October 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Terry McLaurin (WAS) Under 50.5 Receiving Yards, priced at -114 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Terry McLaurin (WAS) Under 50.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Washington Commanders play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Terry McLaurin (WAS) Under 50.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kyler Murray (MIN) Under 5.5 Rushing Attempts (-156)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Minnesota Vikings play Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kyler Murray (MIN) Under 5.5 Rushing Attempts. It was priced at -156 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Isaiah Davis (NYJ) Under 9.5 Receiving Yards (-108)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Chicago Bears play New York Jets in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Isaiah Davis (NYJ) Under 9.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jordan Love (GB) Under 4.5 Rushing Yards (-108)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Buccaneers play Green Bay Packers in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jordan Love (GB) Under 4.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Tucker Kraft (GB) Under 41.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Buccaneers play Green Bay Packers in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tucker Kraft (GB) Under 41.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Tucker Kraft (GB) Under 41.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Buccaneers play Green Bay Packers in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tucker Kraft (GB) Under 41.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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