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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Sat 31 Oct 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Mississippi State Bulldogs
VS
Texas Longhorns

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 4 markets for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns and backs Mississippi State Bulldogs 20.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $191.

4
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Mississippi State Bulldogs
with a 20.5-point head start
Mississippi State Bulldogs 20.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$19.09Best price-110
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win53.1%
The price says50.0%

The model graded 4 markets for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 31 Oct 2026, 7:30 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Mississippi State Bulldogs 20.5 Lean53% chance -110
Moneyline Members only Lean57% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean51% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Mississippi State Bulldogs and Texas Longhorns last met on Sat 31 Oct 2026: Texas Longhorns won 31-3. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Mississippi State Bulldogs
+20.5
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Mississippi State BulldogsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mississippi State BulldogsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Mississippi State Bulldogs

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Texas Longhorns

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

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Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Texas Longhorns — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Mississippi State Bulldogs at Texas Longhorns — 4 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Texas Longhorns — model preview

Texas Longhorns v Mississippi State Bulldogs, 31 October 2026. Top of the list: Over 50.5 Total Points. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.

On Saturday 31 October 2026, Texas Longhorns play Mississippi State Bulldogs in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 50.5 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 50.5 Total Points (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 31 October 2026, Texas Longhorns host Mississippi State Bulldogs in college football. The bet we are looking at is Over 50.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 50.5 points between them. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at DraftKings. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Bulldogs vs Longhorns, or as Longhorns vs Bulldogs. The most recent game between them was Saturday 31 October 2026. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 31 Oct 2026Texas Longhorns beat Mississippi State Bulldogs 31-3 at home

Mississippi State Bulldogs: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Lostvs Vanderbilt Commodores 23-25
  2. 31 Oct 2026Lostat Texas Longhorns 3-31
  3. 24 Oct 2026Lostvs Oklahoma Sooners 15-23
  4. 17 Oct 2026Lostat LSU Tigers 0-31
  5. 3 Oct 2026Lostvs Alabama Crimson Tide 23-56

Texas Longhorns: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Wonat Missouri Tigers 34-20
  2. 31 Oct 2026Wonvs Mississippi State Bulldogs 31-3
  3. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs Ole Miss Rebels 34-27
  4. 17 Oct 2026Lostvs Florida Gators 24-27
  5. 10 Oct 2026Lostat Oklahoma Sooners 24-27

Quick answers

Who won the last Texas Longhorns vs Mississippi State Bulldogs game? Texas Longhorns won their last meeting 31-3 on 31 October 2026.

How have Mississippi State Bulldogs and Texas Longhorns done lately? Mississippi State Bulldogs won 0 and lost 5 of the last 5 results we hold. Texas Longhorns won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns: the season so far

From every final score this season

Mississippi State Bulldogs are 4-5 this season and Texas Longhorns are 7-2. Texas Longhorns are 5-1 at home. Mississippi State Bulldogs are 2-2 on the road. Texas Longhorns score 31.1 points a game and let in 17.4. Mississippi State Bulldogs score 26.2 and let in 27.8. Texas Longhorns games have averaged 49 points in total; Mississippi State Bulldogs games have averaged 54. Mississippi State Bulldogs have lost their last 5 and Texas Longhorns have won their last 3.

SeasonMississippi State BulldogsTexas Longhorns
Won-lost4-57-2
At home2-35-1
On the road2-22-1
Points scored a game26.231.1
Points let in a game27.817.4
Points scored at home30.833.7
Points scored away20.526.0
Against winning sides3-46-2
Current runLost 5Won 3
Biggest win62-13 vs UL Monroe Warhawks59-7 vs Texas State Bobcats
Heaviest loss56-23 vs Alabama Crimson Tide27-24 vs Florida Gators

Teams they have both played

  • Against Missouri Tigers: Texas Longhorns won 34-20 on the road; Mississippi State Bulldogs won 31-24 at home.
  • Against Oklahoma Sooners: Texas Longhorns lost 24-27 on the road; Mississippi State Bulldogs lost 15-23 at home.

Quick answers

How are Texas Longhorns doing this season? Texas Longhorns are 7-2 this season: 5-1 at home and 2-1 on the road.

How many points do Mississippi State Bulldogs score a game? Mississippi State Bulldogs score 26.2 points a game this season and let in 27.8, across 9 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Texas Longhorns 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Sat 31 Oct 2026, Mississippi State Bulldogs at Texas Longhorns: Texas Longhorns won 31-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
31 Oct 2026Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Texas Longhorns31–3Texas Longhorns
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