Here are our NFL picks for Friday 2 October 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Braelon Allen (NYJ) Under 10.5 Receiving Yards, priced at -114 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Braelon Allen (NYJ) Under 10.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Chicago Bears play New York Jets in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Braelon Allen (NYJ) Under 10.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Tucker Kraft (GB) Under 41.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Buccaneers play Green Bay Packers in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tucker Kraft (GB) Under 41.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kaleb Johnson (GB) Under 31.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Buccaneers play Green Bay Packers in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kaleb Johnson (GB) Under 31.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

RJ Harvey (DEN) Under 3.5 Receptions (-135)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

San Francisco 49ers play Denver Broncos in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is RJ Harvey (DEN) Under 3.5 Receptions. It was priced at -135 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Javonte Williams (DAL) Under 60.5 Rushing Yards (-109)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Houston Texans play Dallas Cowboys in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Javonte Williams (DAL) Under 60.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Chase Brown (CIN) Under 63.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Cincinnati Bengals play Jacksonville Jaguars in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Chase Brown (CIN) Under 63.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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