Of our last 628 graded player prop tips, 51% got a better price than where the market closed.
NFL Player Props · Updated daily in season
NFL Player Props Today — Free Prop Bets for Every Game
NFL player props today: every prop bet on the board, priced and ranked best first. All 1,899 are below, 50 to a page. Top prop free.
The NFL prop lines are on the board
Books have priced 418 players across 9 prop markets for the 13 games ahead. These are the most widely priced lines right now — our model's ranked picks land here the day it has enough to say.
| Player | Market | Line | Best price | Books |
|---|
| Dean Connors | Anytime TD | — | +7500 | 14 |
| Rasheen Ali | Anytime TD | — | +6500 | 14 |
| Carsen Ryan | Anytime TD | — | +4000 | 14 |
| Chris Blair | Anytime TD | — | +4000 | 14 |
| DJ Giddens | Anytime TD | — | +4000 | 14 |
| Feleipe Franks | Anytime TD | — | +4000 | 14 |
| Jackson Meeks | Anytime TD | — | +4000 | 14 |
| Jacob Saylors | Anytime TD | — | +4000 | 14 |
| Kylen Granson | Anytime TD | — | +4000 | 14 |
| Patrick Ricard | Anytime TD | — | +4000 | 14 |
| Seydou Traore | Anytime TD | — | +4000 | 14 |
| Simi Fehoko | Anytime TD | — | +4000 | 14 |
| Tay Martin | Anytime TD | — | +4000 | 14 |
| Tylan Wallace | Anytime TD | — | +4000 | 14 |
| Jared Wiley | Anytime TD | — | +3000 | 14 |
| Nikko Remigio | Anytime TD | — | +3000 | 14 |
| Devin Duvernay | Anytime TD | — | +2800 | 14 |
| Kene Nwangwu | Anytime TD | — | +2800 | 14 |
Compare every book’s price on the live NFL odds board, screen hot streaks in the prop screener, or start with our free NFL pick.
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20
ML models
10k+
Sims per game
See verified results
1899 props on the board, and the 3 strongest are free
The prop we'd back first · Miami Dolphins at New York Jets
Caleb Douglas Over 2.5 receptions -115
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win44.7%
The price says53.8%
$50 returns$93.50
The rest of the boardfull reasoning on each prop below
| MIA v NYJ |
Caleb Douglas Over 2.5 receptions |
Lean45% chance |
-115 |
| PIT v NO |
Germie Bernard Under 4.5 receptions |
Lean54% chance |
+118 |
| SF v ATL |
Receptions (alt) |
Long-shot30% chance |
Members |
| CIN v BAL |
Receptions (alt) |
Long-shot25% chance |
Members |
| IND v MIN |
Pass completions |
High62% chance |
Members |
| TB v CAR |
Receptions |
Lean42% chance |
Members |
| CLE v TEN |
Receiving yards |
Lean51% chance |
Members |
| NYG v HOU |
Receptions |
Lean42% chance |
Members |
| DEN v ARI |
Rushing yards |
Lean51% chance |
Members |
| GB v DET |
Receiving yards |
Lean52% chance |
Members |
| LAR v LV |
Receiving yards |
Lean52% chance |
Members |
| KC v SEA |
Rushing yards (alt) |
High92% chance |
Members |
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
No props match that.
Try another game or market, or .
-115 best over price · 12 books
Chance to win:
44.7%
The price says 53.8%
Why we like it
Caleb Douglas (MIA) Over 2.5 Receptions (-116)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New York Jets play Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sunday 25 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Caleb Douglas (MIA) Over 2.5 Receptions. It was priced at -116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
-147 best over price · 12 books
Chance to win:
54.1%
The price says 45.9%
Why we like it
Germie Bernard (PIT) Under 4.5 Receptions (+118)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New Orleans Saints play Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL on Sunday 25 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Germie Bernard (PIT) Under 4.5 Receptions. It was priced at +118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
-115 best over price · 13 books
Chance to win:
22.8%
The price says 12.7%
Why we like it
New Orleans Saints vs Pittsburgh Steelers: Noah Fant Over 3.5 Receptions (Alt) (+690)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Noah Fant needs to catch at least four passes for this bet to win. The Saints have a solid defense, but Fant has been showing good form lately and has a chance to shine in this game. With the Steelers coming off a tough matchup, they might not be fully prepared for him.
Fant has been a reliable target, and with the Saints focusing on stopping other key players, he could find some open space. The odds are pretty high, but this is a risky bet since both teams are closely matched. If the Saints focus too much on their main threats, it could open up opportunities for Fant.
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 80.0%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 74.6%
-114 best over price · 4 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 68.5%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 27.0%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 78.1%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 64.5%
-119 best over price · 12 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 35.0%
-119 best over price · 12 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.8%
-118 best over price · 4 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 55.9%
-119 best over price · 12 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 54.0%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 73.5%
-114 best over price · 5 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 52.4%
-114 best over price · 5 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 52.4%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 82.6%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 61.7%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 58.5%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 44.4%
-108 best over price · 2 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 51.5%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 71.4%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 76.3%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 86.2%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 54.0%
+100 best over price · 12 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 50.0%
-119 best over price · 12 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 20.4%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 54.4%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 82.0%
+100 best over price · 12 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 50.5%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 12.8%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 39.8%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 79.4%
-114 best over price · 5 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 84.0%
-110 best over price · 12 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 49.8%
+100 best over price · 12 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 29.6%
-115 best over price · 13 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 5.8%
-118 best over price · 3 booksQuestionable
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 51.5%
-119 best over price · 12 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 74.1%
-115 best over price · 5 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
-115 best over price · 5 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 87.7%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 47.2%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 90.1%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 52.1%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 89.3%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 2.2%
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Quick answer
What is an NFL player prop bet?
An NFL player prop bet is a wager on a single player statistic, such as passing yards, receptions, or touchdowns.
It is settled independently of the game winner, which makes props useful when you want to target a specific role,
matchup, or usage trend rather than the final score.
Probability vs odds
Edge calculation
Bankroll discipline
| Market |
What it measures |
Typical intent |
| Passing yards | QB volume and efficiency | Matchup driven |
| Receptions | Target share and route role | Usage driven |
| Rushing yards | Carry volume and game script | Game flow driven |
| Anytime TD | Scoring opportunity | Red zone driven |
Why our props have an edge
20
ML Models
Our edge is built in house. Each model is trained and evaluated per league.
10k+
Simulations
Games are simulated at scale to estimate distributions and probabilities.
AI
Reasoning
Every pick pairs the model's chance and value call with plain-English AI analysis.
How we decide which NFL props are worth a look
Every price a sportsbook posts is really a guess about how often something happens. Our model makes its own guess from the player's recent games, his role, the defence he faces and the weather, then compares the two. When the model thinks something happens more often than the price says, that prop makes the board. The board shows every line, the best price across the books, and how often the player has cleared it lately, for free. Which side the model backs, and why, is for Pro members.
If you want the deeper framework, see our actuarial sports betting methodology.
Example in plain English
Say a receiver's line is 59.5 yards at a price that means "about a coin flip". If our model makes it closer to 6 chances in 10, that is a gap worth knowing about. A gap is not a guarantee. It is the thing we grade in public, week after week, so you can see whether the gaps were real.
Related NFL pages
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