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NFL

Jordan Love

GB

Value call

Jordan Love has one live pick today: under 228.5 passing yards that pays $190 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
62 in 100
Predicted
211.5 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 61.8% · before adjusting for past results 72.3% · the book's price implies 52.6% · gap +9.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers
Green Bay · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Jordan Love
under 228.5 passing yards
Passing Yards Under 228.5 -111 (1.90) · $100→$190
Value call
HIGHWins about 62 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.00 Odds-111
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jordan Love is Under 228.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 62%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 12, 10:06AM UTC
UNKNOWN
Love completed 25 of 31 passes for 367 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions while adding one carry for six yards in the Packers' 31-7 win over the Bears on Sunday. He also fumbled once but recovered.
updated Oct 11, 9:02PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards72.3%61.8%52.6%2.01+19.6%

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AI Analysis

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Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears: Jordan Love Under 228.5 Passing Yards (-111)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Jordan Love has a solid chance to go under 228.5 passing yards against the Chicago Bears. The Bears' defense has been tough on quarterbacks, allowing 239.24 yards through the air each game last season. With both teams showing some struggles against the line on grass, it's likely they'll keep things close. The Packers also gave up over 324 yards a game last season, but they can still limit the damage. Love will need to be sharp, especially since both teams have shown they can struggle to move the ball consistently. The most concrete risk is that Love could have a breakout game, but it feels like this matchup leans toward a lower passing total.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards18 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–29.5tips tracked18

Jordan Love's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 18 times, typically around a 4.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Passing Yards54 lines trackedNo line posted
149.5typical line · passing yds
line range149.5–228.5model over98%tips tracked54

Jordan Love's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 54 times, typically around a 149.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD3 lines trackedNo line posted
12%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked3

Jordan Love's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 3 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 12%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many passing yards does Jordan Love average?How many rushing yards does Jordan Love average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Passing Yards 228.5 Under -111 ✗ MISS
11 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Pass Completions 21.5 Under -120 ✗ MISS
11 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Passing Yards (Alt) 169.5 Over -556 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Pass Completions — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Passing Touchdowns — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jordan Love (GB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jordan Love is Under 228.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.6% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers on Sunday 11 October at Green Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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