Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jordan Love is Over 9.5 on Rushing Yards.
On the Rushing Yards market the model assigns a model win probability of 56%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +2.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:07PM UTC
NFL

Jordan Love

GB

+2.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards Over 9.5 -114 (1.88)
+2.4% Edge
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
Green Bay · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Love said Thursday that the Packers still "have some great weapons" after losing WRs Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks this offseason, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
updated Jun 19, 4:33PM UTC · 31d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
55.6%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+2.4%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards55.6%—53.2%1.80+2.4%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jordan Love (GB) Over 9.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Jordan Love to go over 9.5 rushing yards in the game between Green Bay Packers and Carolina Panthers seems to be a risky proposition based on Love's recent performances. His overall hit rate over the last 20 games is only 15% (3/20), and this drops to a mere 10% (1/10) in his last 10 games. His performance at home games doesn't inspire much confidence either, with a hit rate of only 20% (4/20) in the last 20 games, and 10% (1/10) in the last 10. One positive insight is that Love has hit this mark in his last game against the Panthers (1/1), but this is a small sample size and may not be indicative of a trend. Overall, the statistical data indicates that Love's rushing yard performance has been consistently below the proposed 9.5 yards, making this bet a high-risk one.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards13 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · rushing yds
line range9.5–29.5model over56%tips tracked13

Jordan Love's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 13 times, typically around a 9.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Jordan Love (GB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jordan Love is Over 9.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.4% on this pick. Their next game is Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers at Green Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks