Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jordan Love is Under 1.5 on Passing Touchdowns.
On Passing Touchdowns, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 60%, the price says 51%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 22, 6:49AM UTC
NFL
Jordan Love
GB
Jordan Love has one live pick today: Passing Touchdowns Under 1.5 that pays $196 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Passing Touchdowns
Under 1.5
-104 (1.96) · $100→$196
Value call
Atlanta Falcons
@
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay · Indoor
Fri 25 Sep, 12:15AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 349 of 542 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Love completed 16 of 29 passes for 145 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday's 20-17 overtime win over the Jets.
updated Sep 20, 10:49PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
1.4 Passing Touchdowns
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 60.2% · the book's price implies 51.0% · gap +9.2%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Passing Touchdowns | 60.2% | — | 51.0% | 2.08 | +9.2% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime
Jordan Love (GB) Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-104)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Green Bay Packers play Atlanta Falcons in the NFL on Friday 25 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jordan Love (GB) Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns. It was priced at -104 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Jordan Love's lines for Fri 25 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Passing Touchdowns 1.5
Jordan Love's passing touchdowns line is 1.5.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Jordan Love's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Interceptions Thrown 0.5
Jordan Love's interceptions thrown line is 0.5.
Betting angles
Markets & formRushing Yards13 lines trackedNo line posted 9.5typical line · rushing yds
line range9.5–29.5model over56%tips tracked13
Jordan Love's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 13 times, typically around a 9.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Jordan Love (GB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jordan Love is Under 1.5 on Passing Touchdowns. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.2% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers on Friday 25 September at Green Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.