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NFL

Charlie Jones

NYG

Value call

Charlie Jones has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $2,000 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
9 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 8.5% · before adjusting for past results 10.9% · the book's price implies 5.0% · gap +3.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Washington Commanders @ New York Giants
New York · Indoor
Thu 12 Nov, 8:15 PM ET
Charlie Jones
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +1900 (20.00) · $100→$2,000
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 9 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$200.00 Odds+1900
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Charlie Jones is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 9 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 9%, the price says 5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 6:17AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD10.9%8.5%5.0%20.00+5.9%

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AI Analysis

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New York Giants vs Washington Commanders: Charlie Jones Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1900)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Charlie Jones has shown some flashes of talent this season, and the Giants are really struggling to stop opposing offenses. Playing at home gives New York a bit of an advantage, but their defense has been shaky, which could open the door for Jones to find the end zone. With Washington's defense not being the toughest, he might just surprise us. Betting on Jones to score anytime is a bit of a long shot, but the odds are pretty good at +1900. The biggest concern is that he hasn't scored a lot this season, and the competition is tough. Still, if he gets a chance near the goal line, he could make it happen.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD20 lines trackedNo line posted
11%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked20

Charlie Jones's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 20 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 11%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Charlie Jones (NYG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Charlie Jones is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.9% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Commanders vs New York Giants on Thursday 12 November at New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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