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NFL

Tyler Shough

NO

Value call

Tyler Shough has one live pick today: under 227.5 passing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
64 in 100
Predicted
208.3 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 64.1% · before adjusting for past results 73.0% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +10.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
New Orleans · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 9:30 AM ET
Tyler Shough
under 227.5 passing yards
Passing Yards Under 227.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 64 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Shough is Under 227.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 64%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 3:34PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Shough completed 30 of 38 passes for 278 yards and one touchdown with one interception in Sunday's 16-10 loss to the Steelers. He added seven rushing yards on three carries.
updated Oct 25, 6:17PM UTC · 9d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards73.0%64.1%53.2%2.00+19.8%

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AI Analysis

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New Orleans Saints vs Pittsburgh Steelers: Tyler Shough Under 227.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds for Tyler Shough to pass under 227.5 yards is set at -114, which looks like a solid bet. Our numbers give this a good chance because the Saints' defense has been tough against the pass lately. They have shown they can limit opposing quarterbacks, and Shough is still finding his groove in the NFL. One risk here is that the Steelers are known for their quick scoring, which could push Shough to throw more than expected. However, if the Saints can control the game and keep the pressure on, this bet looks promising.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Passing Yards123 lines trackedNo line posted
174.5typical line · passing yds
line range149.5–249.5model over91%tips tracked123

Tyler Shough's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 123 times, typically around a 174.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards99 lines trackedNo line posted
24.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–49.5model over30%tips tracked99

Tyler Shough's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 99 times, typically around a 24.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many passing yards does Tyler Shough average?How many rushing yards does Tyler Shough average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Passing Yards (Alt) 149.5 Over -1000 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Passing Yards (Alt) 159.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Passing Yards (Alt) 169.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Passing Yards — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Rushing Attempts (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Rushing Attempts (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tyler Shough (NO) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Shough is Under 227.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.8% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints on Sunday 25 October at New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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