Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Shough is Over 189.5 on Passing Yards (Alt).
On Passing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 89 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 89%, the price says 87%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 7:57PM UTC
NFL
Tyler Shough
NO
Tyler Shough has one live pick today: Passing Yards (Alt) Over 189.5 that pays $115 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Passing Yards (Alt)
Over 189.5
-667 (1.15) · $100→$115
Value call
Las Vegas Raiders
@
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 8:25PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Shough completed 27 of 34 passes for 252 yards and a touchdown while adding 23 yards and a TD on nine carries in Sunday's 24-17 win over the Ravens.
updated Sep 20, 8:25PM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
89 in 100
Predicted
225.9 Passing Yards (Alt)
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 89.0% · the book's price implies 87.0% · gap +2.1%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Passing Yards (Alt) | 89.0% | — | 87.0% | 1.15 | +2.1% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
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Tyler Shough (NO) Over 189.5 Player pass yds alternate (-667)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
New Orleans Saints play Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tyler Shough (NO) Over 189.5 Player pass yds alternate. It was priced at -667 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Tyler Shough's lines for Sun 27 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Passing Yards (Alt) 189.5
Tyler Shough's passing yards (alt) line is 189.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 179.5
Tyler Shough's passing yards (alt) line is 179.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 174.5
Tyler Shough's passing yards (alt) line is 174.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 169.5
Tyler Shough's passing yards (alt) line is 169.5.
Pass Completions 22.5
Tyler Shough's pass completions line is 22.5.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Tyler Shough's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Interceptions Thrown (Alt) 1.5
Tyler Shough's interceptions thrown (alt) line is 1.5.
Interceptions Thrown (Alt) 0.5
Tyler Shough's interceptions thrown (alt) line is 0.5.
Betting angles
1 market livePassing YardsNext game · Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans SaintsO 174.5 -1111
174.5posted line · passing yds
Tyler Shough has a live NFL passing yards market for Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints: over 174.5 passing yds priced at -1111.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Tyler Shough (NO) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Shough is Over 189.5 on Passing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a slight edge of +2.1% on this pick. Their next game is Las Vegas Raiders vs New Orleans Saints on Sunday 27 September at New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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