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NFL

Noah Fant

NO

Value call

Noah Fant has one live pick today: over 3.5 receptions that pays $790 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
25 in 100
Predicted
2.9 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 24.9% · before adjusting for past results 32.6% · the book's price implies 12.7% · gap +12.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
New Orleans · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 9:30 AM ET
Noah Fant
over 3.5 receptions
Receptions (Alt) Over 3.5 +690 (7.90) · $100→$790
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 25 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$79.00 Odds+690
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Noah Fant is Over 3.5 on Receptions (Alt).
On Receptions (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 25 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 25%, the price says 13%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 3:33PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Fant gathered in all two targets for 11 yards during Sunday's 16-10 defeat against Pittsburgh.
updated Oct 27, 12:11AM UTC · 8d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions (Alt)32.6%24.9%12.7%7.90+19.9%

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AI Analysis

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New Orleans Saints vs Pittsburgh Steelers: Noah Fant Over 3.5 Receptions (Alt) (+690)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Noah Fant needs to catch at least four passes for this bet to win. The Saints have a solid defense, but Fant has been showing good form lately and has a chance to shine in this game. With the Steelers coming off a tough matchup, they might not be fully prepared for him. Fant has been a reliable target, and with the Saints focusing on stopping other key players, he could find some open space. The odds are pretty high, but this is a risky bet since both teams are closely matched. If the Saints focus too much on their main threats, it could open up opportunities for Fant.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards201 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–79.5model over58%tips tracked201

Noah Fant's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 201 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions72 lines trackedNo line posted
0.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–5.5model over95%tips tracked72

Noah Fant's NFL receptions prop has been priced 72 times, typically around a 0.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD21 lines trackedNo line posted
19%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked21

Noah Fant's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 21 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 19%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Receptions (Alt) 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Noah Fant (NO) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Noah Fant is Over 3.5 on Receptions (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.9% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints on Sunday 25 October at New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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