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The latest Bet Better model pick for DeVonta Smith is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 33%, for a model edge of +16.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:03PM UTC
NFL

DeVonta Smith

PHI

+16.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +200 (3.00)
+16.9% Edge
Chicago Bears @ Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Smith is set to operate as the Eagles' top wide receiver after the team traded A.J. Brown to the Patriots on Monday.
updated Jun 1, 8:59PM UTC · 49d old
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Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
33.3%
Model Edge
+16.9%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer50.2%—33.3%1.99+16.9%

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AI Analysis

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DeVonta Smith (PHI) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on DeVonta Smith to score a touchdown in the 'player_anytime_td' market seems to be a risky proposition based on his recent performance data. His overall hit rate in the last 3, 5, 10, and 20 games has been poor, with no touchdowns scored in the last 5 games. Furthermore, his home hit rate isn't encouraging either, with only 1 touchdown in the last 10 home games. Specifically against the Chicago Bears, he hasn't scored in his previous encounter. His current hit streaks are also at zero both overall and at home. Although he has an overall hit rate of about 31% (20/65), recent performance trends don't support a positive outcome. Therefore, it would be a high-risk bet to place money on Smith scoring a touchdown in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2

DeVonta Smith's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

DeVonta Smith (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for DeVonta Smith is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.9% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles at Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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