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NFL

Darnell Mooney

NYG

Value call

Darnell Mooney has one live pick today: over 2.5 receptions that pays $421 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
26 in 100
Predicted
2.0 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 25.6% · before adjusting for past results 32.6% · the book's price implies 23.8% · gap +1.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Washington Commanders @ New York Giants
New York · Indoor
Thu 12 Nov, 8:15 PM ET
Darnell Mooney
over 2.5 receptions
Receptions (Alt) Over 2.5 +321 (4.21) · $100→$421
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 26 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$42.10 Odds+321
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Darnell Mooney is Over 2.5 on Receptions (Alt).
On Receptions (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 26 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 26%, the price says 24%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 6:17AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Mooney caught two of five targets for eight yards Thursday in a loss to Washington.
updated Nov 14, 1:12AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions (Alt)32.6%25.6%23.8%4.21+8.9%

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AI Analysis

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New York Giants vs Washington Commanders: Darnell Mooney Over 2.5 Receptions (Alt) (+321)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Darnell Mooney has a chance to shine in this matchup, especially considering his role in the Giants' offense. Even though he only got a few carries last season, he's known for making key catches when it counts. The Giants have a solid pass rush, which should give Mooney opportunities to find space and make plays. Both teams have been pretty even against the line, but Mooney's ability to make those short receptions can be crucial. The biggest risk here is that he hasn't been a top target recently. However, with the right game plan, he's got a real shot at going over 2.5 receptions.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD13 lines trackedNo line posted
18%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked13

Darnell Mooney's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 13 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 18%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards72 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over86%tips tracked72

Darnell Mooney's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 72 times, typically around a 4.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions100 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–5.5model over60%tips tracked100

Darnell Mooney's NFL receptions prop has been priced 100 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Darnell Mooney average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Nov 26 Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Receptions 1.5 Over +103 ✓ HIT
12 Nov 26 Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Receptions (Alt) 1.5 Over +103 ✓ HIT
12 Nov 26 Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Receiving Yards (Alt) 4.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
12 Nov 26 Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
12 Nov 26 Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
12 Nov 26 Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Darnell Mooney (NYG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Darnell Mooney is Over 2.5 on Receptions (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.9% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Commanders vs New York Giants on Thursday 12 November at New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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