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NFL

Marvin Harrison Jr.

HOU

Value call

Marvin Harrison Jr. has one live pick today: over 14.5 receiving yards that pays $142 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
36.3 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 76.1% · before adjusting for past results 83.7% · the book's price implies 70.4% · gap +5.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles · Indoor
Sun 8 Nov, 4:05 PM ET
Marvin Harrison Jr.
over 14.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 14.5 -238 (1.42) · $100→$142
Value call
HIGHWins about 76 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.20 Odds-238
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Marvin Harrison Jr. is Over 14.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 76%, the price says 70%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:05PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Harrison (hamstring) is ruled out for Sunday's game against the Browns.
updated Nov 13, 9:13PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)83.7%76.1%70.4%1.42+13.3%

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AI Analysis

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Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans: Marvin Harrison Jr. Over 14.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-238)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Los Angeles Chargers are playing at home, and their quarterback has been feeling pressure from extra defenders quite a bit this season. This could lead to quick passes, which might be perfect for Marvin Harrison Jr. He's shown he can make big plays, and with the Chargers running game being more effective than their passing game, they might lean on short throws more often. On the other side, the Houston Texans have struggled when it comes to defending against receivers lately. Marvin Harrison Jr. has a good chance to catch plenty of passes, especially if the Chargers need to get the ball out fast. The biggest risk is that both teams have quarterbacks facing a lot of extra rushers, which might lead to some missed opportunities. Still, I think he can clear 14.5 receiving yards.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (21 picks) 57.1% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD3 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked3

Marvin Harrison Jr.'s NFL anytime td prop has been priced 3 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards80 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–59.5model over96%tips tracked80

Marvin Harrison Jr.'s NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 80 times, typically around a 4.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions30 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–4.5model over40%tips tracked30

Marvin Harrison Jr.'s NFL receptions prop has been priced 30 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Marvin Harrison Jr. average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Nov 26 Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5 Over -159 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards 23.5 Over -114 ✗ MISS
08 Nov 26 Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Marvin Harrison Jr. (HOU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 57.1% on tracked Marvin Harrison Jr. picks. The latest model pick for Marvin Harrison Jr. is Over 14.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.3% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday 8 November at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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