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NFL

Brashard Smith

KC

Value call

Brashard Smith has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $1,900 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
6 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 5.7% · before adjusting for past results 12.7% · the book's price implies 5.3% · gap +0.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks
Seattle · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 8:20 PM ET
Brashard Smith
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +1800 (19.00) · $100→$1,900
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 6 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$190.00 Odds+1800
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brashard Smith is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 6 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 6%, the price says 5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:02PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD12.7%5.7%5.3%19.00+7.4%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

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AI Analysis

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Seattle Seahawks vs Kansas City Chiefs: Brashard Smith Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1800)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Brashard Smith scoring a touchdown offers a tempting chance at +1800 odds. The Kansas City Chiefs have shown some struggle on grass fields, with a record of 30 wins and 38 losses against the spread. Their quarterback has faced extra pressure a lot lately, which could lead to more opportunities for someone like Smith to slip through and find the end zone. The Chiefs' defense has been solid against tight ends, but they've allowed a few unexpected plays. Smith is a bit of a long shot here, so while it's not a guarantee, there's a spark of hope that he could make a big play in this matchup. Just remember, the risk is that the Chiefs have a tough defense, and it might be hard for him to get open.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD29 lines trackedNo line posted
16%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked29

Brashard Smith's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 29 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 16%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards1 line trackedNo line posted
29.5typical line · receiving yds
model over27%tips tracked1

Brashard Smith's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 29.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Sep 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs Total Touchdowns — — — Pending
14 Sep 26 Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
14 Sep 26 Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs Total Touchdowns — — — Pending

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About This Player

Brashard Smith (KC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brashard Smith is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.4% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks on Sunday 25 October at Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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