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NFL

MarShawn Lloyd

GB

Value call

MarShawn Lloyd has one live pick today: over 26.5 rush rec yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
63 in 100
Predicted
47.5 Rush + Rec Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 63.0% · before adjusting for past results 72.2% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +9.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
Green Bay · Indoor
Thu 29 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
MarShawn Lloyd
over 26.5 rush rec yards
Rush + Rec Yards Over 26.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 63 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for MarShawn Lloyd is Over 26.5 on Rush + Rec Yards.
On Rush + Rec Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 63 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 63%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 1, 7:57PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Lloyd rushed three times for seven yards and brought in his only target for nine yards in the Packers' 27-19 win over the Panthers on Thursday.
updated Oct 30, 4:43AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rush + Rec Yards72.2%63.0%53.2%2.00+19.0%

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AI Analysis

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Green Bay Packers vs Carolina Panthers: MarShawn Lloyd Over 26.5 Rush + Rec Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

MarShawn Lloyd has been getting a lot of chances to make big plays, and that's exciting for this bet. He's been a bright spot for the Carolina Panthers, and if he can get past the Packers' defense, he should easily rack up over 26.5 rushing and receiving yards. The Packers have faced some challenges with their defense, especially when extra rushers are sent after their quarterback, which could open up more opportunities for Lloyd. One thing to keep in mind is that the Packers have a solid record as home underdogs, winning 8 of their last 11 games in that spot. If the game stays close, Lloyd might not see as many chances as we hope. Still, our numbers show he has a good chance of hitting that mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards98 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–59.5model over94%tips tracked98

MarShawn Lloyd's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 98 times, typically around a 9.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions51 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5model over47%tips tracked51

MarShawn Lloyd's NFL receptions prop has been priced 51 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards112 lines trackedNo line posted
39.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over10%tips tracked112

MarShawn Lloyd's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 112 times, typically around a 39.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD8 lines trackedNo line posted
30%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked8

MarShawn Lloyd's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 8 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 30%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Oct 26 Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers Rushing Yards (Alt) 4.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
29 Oct 26 Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers Receptions 0.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
29 Oct 26 Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers Receptions (Alt) 0.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
29 Oct 26 Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers Rush + Rec Yards — — — Pending
29 Oct 26 Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers Rush + Rec Yards — — — Pending
29 Oct 26 Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

MarShawn Lloyd (GB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for MarShawn Lloyd is Over 26.5 on Rush + Rec Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.0% on this pick. Their next game is Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers on Thursday 29 October at Green Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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