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NFL

CJ Donaldson

NO

Value call

CJ Donaldson has one live pick today: over 24.5 rushing yards that pays $503 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
19 in 100
Predicted
17.8 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 19.2% · before adjusting for past results 25.5% · the book's price implies 19.9% · gap -0.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
New Orleans · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 9:30 AM ET
CJ Donaldson
over 24.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 24.5 +403 (5.03) · $100→$503
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 19 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$50.30 Odds+403
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for CJ Donaldson is Over 24.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 19 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 19%, the price says 20%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:04PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Donaldson (shoulder) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Panthers, Nick Underhill of NewOrleans.Football reports.
updated Nov 13, 7:46PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards (Alt)25.5%19.2%19.9%5.03+5.7%

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AI Analysis

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CJ Donaldson (NO) Over 24.5 Player rush yds alternate (+403)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New Orleans Saints play Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL on Sunday 25 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is CJ Donaldson (NO) Over 24.5 Player rush yds alternate. It was priced at +403 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $50.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD6 lines trackedNo line posted
12%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked6

CJ Donaldson's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 6 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 12%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards29 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–49.5model over59%tips tracked29

CJ Donaldson's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 29 times, typically around a 9.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Oct 26 New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants Rushing Yards 9.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
18 Oct 26 New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants Rushing Yards (Alt) 9.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
18 Oct 26 New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants Rushing Yards (Alt) 4.5 Over -263 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

CJ Donaldson (NO) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for CJ Donaldson is Over 24.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.7% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints on Sunday 25 October at New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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