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The latest Bet Better model pick for George Kittle is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 44%, for a model edge of +5.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:06PM UTC
NFL

George Kittle

SF

+5.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +125 (2.25)
+5.9% Edge
Carolina Panthers @ San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco · Indoor
QUESTIONABLESeason pending
Kittle (Achilles) said Tuesday that he feels "definitely on track" for Week 1 though "nothing is 100 percent certain," David Lombardi of SFStandard.com reports.
updated Jun 23, 8:31PM UTC · 27d old
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Model Probability
50.3%
Implied Probability
44.4%
Model Edge
+5.9%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer50.3%—44.4%1.99+5.9%

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AI Analysis

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George Kittle (SF) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+125)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on George Kittle to score a touchdown at any time in the game between San Francisco 49ers and Carolina Panthers does not seem promising based on recent performances and historical data. Kittle's current hit streak stands at zero, reflecting a recent lack of touchdowns. His overall hit rate is less than a third (18 out of 58), and he has not scored a touchdown in any of his last 5 games, home or away. Despite a slight edge from the model, Kittle's recent performances do not back this up. Even when focusing on home games, Kittle's scoring rate is low, with only 9 out of 29 games resulting in a touchdown. Furthermore, Kittle has not scored a touchdown in his last three games against the Panthers, indicating that this opponent may present a particular challenge. All these factors suggest a low probability bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD6 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked6

George Kittle's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 6 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

George Kittle (SF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for George Kittle is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.9% on this pick. Their next game is Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers at San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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