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NFL

George Kittle

SF

Value call

George Kittle has one live pick today: under 64.5 receiving yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
43 in 100
Predicted
55.1 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 43.1% · before adjusting for past results 69.8% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -10.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco · Indoor
Mon 19 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
George Kittle
under 64.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 64.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 43 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for George Kittle is Under 64.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 43 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 43%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:45AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Is George Kittle playing on Monday? Yes, on the latest team news. George Kittle is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

UNKNOWN
Kittle (illness) caught five of six targets for 24 yards in Sunday's 32-29 win over the Seahawks.
updated Oct 12, 1:06AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards69.8%43.1%53.2%1.99+16.6%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

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AI Analysis

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San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders: George Kittle Under 64.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For George Kittle to go under 64.5 receiving yards tonight, the 49ers need to keep their offensive game tight. San Francisco has had trouble defending against tight ends, allowing about 0.6 touchdowns per game last season, which is more than average. Still, Kittle may not get the ball as much as fans expect, especially since the 49ers' quarterback faced extra pressure on a good number of plays last season, making it tougher to focus on any one receiver. On the other side, Washington's defense also struggled against tight ends, giving up 0.8 touchdowns per game. This matchup looks close, and with both teams having weaknesses, Kittle could find it hard to rack up big yards. So while there's a good chance for this bet, remember that Kittle's success depends on how the game unfolds.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

George Kittle's lines for Tue 20 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards 64.5
-114 best over price · 5 books

George Kittle's receiving yards line is 64.5, best over price -114 across 5 books.

Receiving Yards 63.5
-112 best over price · 6 books

George Kittle's receiving yards line is 63.5, best over price -112 across 6 books.

Receptions 5.5
+104 best over price · 11 books

George Kittle's receptions line is 5.5, best over price +104 across 11 books.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5

George Kittle's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5

George Kittle's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.

Betting angles

2 markets live
Receiving YardsNext game · Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ersU 64.5 -111
64.5posted line · receiving yds

George Kittle has a live NFL receiving yards market for Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers: under 64.5 receiving yds priced at -111.

ReceptionsNext game · Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ersU 5.5 -127
5.5posted line · receptions

George Kittle has a live NFL receptions market for Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers: under 5.5 receptions priced at -127.

Anytime TD7 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked7

George Kittle's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 7 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards 57.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards 56.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards 55.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks Receptions — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

George Kittle (SF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for George Kittle is Under 64.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.6% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers on Monday 19 October at San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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