Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for George Kittle is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 21 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 21%, the price says 8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 8:05PM UTC
NFL
George Kittle
SF
George Kittle has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $1,300 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+1200 (13.00) · $100→$1,300
Value call
Arizona Cardinals
@
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 8:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Kittle caught all four of his targets for 80 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 35-13 win over the Dolphins.
updated Sep 21, 1:32AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
21 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 20.6% · the book's price implies 7.7% · gap +12.9%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 20.6% | — | 7.7% | 13.00 | +12.9% |
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George Kittle (SF) Yes Player last td (+1200)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
San Francisco 49ers play Arizona Cardinals in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is George Kittle (SF) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +1200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $130 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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George Kittle's lines for Sun 27 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Last Touchdown Scorer
George Kittle's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD6 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked6
George Kittle's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 6 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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George Kittle (SF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for George Kittle is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.9% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers on Sunday 27 September at San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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