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NFL

Darren Waller

CAR

Value call

Darren Waller has one live pick today: over 1.5 receptions that pays $167 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
2.9 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 78.4% · the book's price implies 59.9% · gap +18.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers
Carolina · Indoor
Sun 8 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Darren Waller
over 1.5 receptions
Receptions (Alt) Over 1.5 -149 (1.67) · $100→$167
Value call
HIGHWins about 78 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.70 Odds-149
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Darren Waller is Over 1.5 on Receptions (Alt).
On Receptions (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 78%, the price says 60%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 8, 10:14AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Is Darren Waller playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Darren Waller is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

UNKNOWN
Waller corralled one of two targets for 11 yards during last Thursday's 27-19 loss at Green Bay.
updated Nov 3, 12:35AM UTC · 5d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions (Alt)78.4%—59.9%1.67+18.6%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

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AI Analysis

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Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos: Darren Waller Over 1.5 Receptions (Alt) (-149)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For the bet to win, Darren Waller needs to catch at least two passes against the Denver Broncos. Waller has been a key target for the Carolina Panthers, and the Broncos' defense has struggled to cover tight ends lately. This makes it likely that Waller will find opportunities to make those catches. While the Panthers are at home and Waller has shown good form, the risk is that the game could be closer than expected, leading to fewer passing attempts overall. However, given the numbers and Waller's role in the offense, it feels like a solid pick to hit that over.

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Pick History & Track Record

Darren Waller's lines for Sun 8 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receptions (Alt) 1.5
-145 best over price · 17 books

Darren Waller's receptions (alt) line is 1.5, best over price -145 across 17 books.

Receptions (Alt) 3.5
+160 best over price · 1 book

Darren Waller's receptions (alt) line is 3.5, best over price +160 across 1 book.

Receptions (Alt) 4.5

Darren Waller's receptions (alt) line is 4.5.

Receptions (Alt) 0.5
-145 best over price · 17 books

Darren Waller's receptions (alt) line is 0.5, best over price -145 across 17 books.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 4.5

Darren Waller's receiving yards (alt) line is 4.5.

Receptions (Alt) 5.5

Darren Waller's receptions (alt) line is 5.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5

Darren Waller's receiving yards (alt) line is 9.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5

Darren Waller's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.

Betting angles

2 markets live
Receiving YardsNext game · Denver BroncosO 4.5 -500
4.5posted line · receiving yds

Darren Waller has a live NFL receiving yards market for Denver Broncos: over 4.5 receiving yds priced at -500.

ReceptionsNext game · Denver BroncosO 1.5 -152
1.5posted line · receptions

Darren Waller has a live NFL receptions market for Denver Broncos: over 1.5 receptions priced at -152.

Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
41%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1

Darren Waller's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 41%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Darren Waller average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Oct 26 Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers Receptions (Alt) 0.5 Over -1429 ✓ HIT
29 Oct 26 Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
29 Oct 26 Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers Receiving Yards (Alt) 4.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
29 Oct 26 Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers Receptions — — — Pending
29 Oct 26 Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
29 Oct 26 Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending

See the complete track record

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About This Player

Darren Waller (CAR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Darren Waller is Over 1.5 on Receptions (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.6% on this pick. Their next game is Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers on Sunday 8 November at Carolina. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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