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NFL

Darren Waller

CAR

Value call

Darren Waller has one live pick today: under 29.5 receiving yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
29.6 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 60.0% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +6.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia · Indoor
Sun 18 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Darren Waller
under 29.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 29.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 60 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Darren Waller is Under 29.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 60%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:44AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Is Darren Waller playing on Sunday? Not sure yet. Darren Waller is listed as questionable, so it is a game-day call. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

QUESTIONABLE
Waller was listed as a limited participant on Wednesday's practice estimate due to a toe injury.
updated Oct 14, 8:17PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards60.0%—53.2%2.00+6.8%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

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AI Analysis

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Philadelphia Eagles vs Carolina Panthers: Darren Waller Under 29.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Darren Waller has not been as explosive lately for the Carolina Panthers. The Philadelphia Eagles' defense is strong, especially against the pass, making it tough for receivers to rack up yards. With the game being played in Philadelphia, the Eagles will have the home crowd behind them, which can add extra pressure on the Panthers. Waller's production could be limited in this matchup, especially given how close the two sides are in skill. The bet on him to have under 29.5 receiving yards makes sense because of these factors. The Eagles could focus on shutting him down, which means he might struggle to find open space.

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Pick History & Track Record

Darren Waller's lines for Sun 18 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards 29.5
+105 best over price · 2 booksQuestionable

Darren Waller's receiving yards line is 29.5, best over price +105 across 2 books.

Receptions 3.5
+142 best over price · 1 bookQuestionable

Darren Waller's receptions line is 3.5, best over price +142 across 1 book.

Betting angles

2 markets live
Receiving YardsNext game · Philadelphia EaglesU 29.5 -114
29.5posted line · receiving yds

Darren Waller has a live NFL receiving yards market for Philadelphia Eagles: under 29.5 receiving yds priced at -114.

ReceptionsNext game · Philadelphia EaglesO 3.5 +142
3.5posted line · receptions

Darren Waller has a live NFL receptions market for Philadelphia Eagles: over 3.5 receptions priced at +142.

Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
41%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1

Darren Waller's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 41%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Darren Waller average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers Receptions 3.5 Under -135 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers Receiving Yards — — — Pending

See the complete track record

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About This Player

Darren Waller (CAR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Darren Waller is Under 29.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.8% on this pick. Their next game is Carolina Panthers vs Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday 18 October at Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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