Isaiah Likely has one live pick today: over 24.5 receiving yards that pays $120 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
90 in 100
Predicted
51.5 receiving yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 90.3% · the book's price implies 83.3% · gap +7.0%.
Latest Model PickFree
New Orleans Saints
@
New York Giants
Isaiah Likely
over 24.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 24.5
-500 (1.20) · $100→$120
Value call
HIGHWins about 90 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$12.00
Odds-500
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Isaiah Likely is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 90 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 90%, the price says 83%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:40AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Isaiah Likely playing on Sunday? Yes, on the latest team news. Isaiah Likely is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Likely caught 11 of 13 targets for 94 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday's 27-27 tie against the Commanders.
updated Oct 11, 11:30PM UTC · 3d old
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| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 90.3% | — | 83.3% | 1.20 | +7.0% |
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Isaiah Likely (NYG) Over 24.5 Player reception yds alternate (-500)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New York Giants play New Orleans Saints in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Isaiah Likely (NYG) Over 24.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Isaiah Likely's lines for Sun 18 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
Isaiah Likely's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Receptions 4.5
-154 best over price · 6 books
Isaiah Likely's receptions line is 4.5, best over price -154 across 6 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5
Isaiah Likely's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5
Isaiah Likely's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
Isaiah Likely's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
Isaiah Likely's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Betting angles
2 markets liveReceptionsNext game · New Orleans Saints @ New York GiantsU 4.5 +128 4.5posted line · receptions
Isaiah Likely has a live NFL receptions market for New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants: under 4.5 receptions priced at +128.
Receiving YardsNext game · New Orleans Saints @ New York GiantsO 24.5 -500 24.5posted line · receiving yds
Isaiah Likely has a live NFL receiving yards market for New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants: over 24.5 receiving yds priced at -500.
Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2
Isaiah Likely's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
| 11 Oct 26 |
New York Giants @ Washington Commanders |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
14.5 |
Over |
-833 |
✓ HIT |
| 11 Oct 26 |
New York Giants @ Washington Commanders |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
24.5 |
Over |
-333 |
✓ HIT |
| 11 Oct 26 |
New York Giants @ Washington Commanders |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
19.5 |
Over |
-588 |
✓ HIT |
| 11 Oct 26 |
New York Giants @ Washington Commanders |
Receptions |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 11 Oct 26 |
New York Giants @ Washington Commanders |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants |
Receiving Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
See the complete track record
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Isaiah Likely (NYG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Isaiah Likely is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.0% on this pick. Their next game is New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants on Sunday 18 October at New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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