Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Isaiah Likely is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 11 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 11%, the price says 6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 8:02PM UTC
NFL
Isaiah Likely
NYG
Isaiah Likely has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $1,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+1500 (16.00) · $100→$1,600
Value call
Dallas Cowboys
@
New York Giants
New York · Indoor
Mon 14 Sep, 12:20AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Likely secured five of 10 targets for 33 yards in the Giants' 28-6 loss to the Rams on Monday night.
updated Sep 22, 4:10AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
11 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 11.4% · before adjusting for past results 11.4% · the book's price implies 6.3% · gap +5.2%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 11.4% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 16.00 | +5.2% |
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Isaiah Likely (NYG) Yes Player last td (+1500)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
New York Giants play Dallas Cowboys in the NFL on Monday 14 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Isaiah Likely (NYG) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +1500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $160 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formReceiving Yards8 lines trackedNo line posted 16.5typical line · receiving yds
line range16.5–22.5tips tracked8
Isaiah Likely's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 8 times, typically around a 16.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2
Isaiah Likely's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Isaiah Likely (NYG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Isaiah Likely is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.2% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants on Monday 14 September at New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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