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NFL

Isaiah Likely

NYG

Value call

Isaiah Likely has one live pick today: under 52.5 receiving yards that pays $190 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
50.0 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.0% · before adjusting for past results 60.0% · the book's price implies 52.6% · gap -3.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
Houston · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Isaiah Likely
under 52.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 52.5 -111 (1.90) · $100→$190
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.00 Odds-111
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Isaiah Likely is Under 52.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 4:39PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Likely caught two of four targets for 12 yards in Sunday's 27-21 overtime win over the Texans.
updated Oct 26, 2:03AM UTC · 9d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards60.0%49.0%52.6%2.01+7.4%

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AI Analysis

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Isaiah Likely (NYG) Under 52.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Houston Texans play New York Giants in the NFL on Sunday 25 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Isaiah Likely (NYG) Under 52.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards92 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range9.5–109.5model over96%tips tracked92

Isaiah Likely's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 92 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD5 lines trackedNo line posted
38%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked5

Isaiah Likely's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 5 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 38%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions20 lines trackedNo line posted
5.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–8.5tips tracked20

Isaiah Likely's NFL receptions prop has been priced 20 times, typically around a 5.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Oct 26 New York Giants @ Houston Texans Receiving Yards 52.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 New York Giants @ Houston Texans Receptions 5.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 New York Giants @ Houston Texans Receiving Yards 50.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 New York Giants @ Houston Texans Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 New York Giants @ Houston Texans Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 New York Giants @ Houston Texans Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Isaiah Likely (NYG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Isaiah Likely is Under 52.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.4% on this pick. Their next game is New York Giants vs Houston Texans on Sunday 25 October at Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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