Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kayshon Boutte is Over 4.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 85 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 85%, the price says 88%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 4, 11:46AM UTC
NFL
Kayshon Boutte
HOU
Kayshon Boutte has one live pick today: Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 4.5 that pays $114 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 4.5
-714 (1.14) · $100→$114
Value call
Dallas Cowboys
@
Houston Texans
Houston · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 5:00PM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Boutte hauled in both of his targets for 21 yards during the Texans' 19-17 loss to the Colts on Sunday.
updated Sep 30, 1:36AM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
85 in 100
Predicted
27.1 Receiving Yards (Alt)
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 85.1% · before adjusting for past results 89.9% · the book's price implies 87.7% · gap -2.6%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 89.9% | 85.1% | 87.7% | 1.14 | +2.2% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
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Kayshon Boutte (HOU) Over 4.5 Player reception yds alternate (-714)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Houston Texans play Dallas Cowboys in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kayshon Boutte (HOU) Over 4.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Kayshon Boutte's lines for Sun 4 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 4.5
Kayshon Boutte's receiving yards (alt) line is 4.5.
Receiving Yards 24.5
-111 best over price · 3 books
Kayshon Boutte's receiving yards line is 24.5, best over price -111 across 3 books.
Receiving Yards 23.5
-114 best over price · 4 books
Kayshon Boutte's receiving yards line is 23.5, best over price -114 across 4 books.
Betting angles
1 market liveReceiving YardsNext game · Dallas CowboysO 4.5 -714 4.5posted line · receiving yds
Kayshon Boutte has a live NFL receiving yards market for Dallas Cowboys: over 4.5 receiving yds priced at -714.
Receptions10 lines trackedNo line posted 5.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–5.5model over9%tips tracked10
Kayshon Boutte's NFL receptions prop has been priced 10 times, typically around a 5.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD14 lines trackedNo line posted
44%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked14
Kayshon Boutte's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 14 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 44%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
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Kayshon Boutte (HOU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kayshon Boutte is Over 4.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a slight edge of +2.2% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans on Sunday 4 October at Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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