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Luke Farrell

SF

Value call

Luke Farrell has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $1,200 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
6 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 6.3% · before adjusting for past results 13.8% · the book's price implies 8.3% · gap -2.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Luke Farrell
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +1100 (12.00) · $100→$1,200
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 6 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$120.00 Odds+1100
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Luke Farrell is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 6 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 6%, the price says 8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 3:04AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD13.8%6.3%8.3%12.00+5.5%

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AI Analysis

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Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers: Luke Farrell Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1100)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Luke Farrell scoring a touchdown at odds of +1100 is an exciting pick. The San Francisco 49ers have struggled against tight ends, allowing more touchdowns than most teams last season. Farrell was a target on some deep shots, so there's a chance he could find the end zone if the 49ers use him wisely in their game plan. However, it's worth noting that the 49ers' quarterback has faced a lot of pressure from opposing defenses, which could affect how smoothly their offense runs. Despite that, Farrell's chances look promising given the matchup against the Falcons. If the 49ers can get the ball to him and take advantage of the Falcons' defensive weaknesses, he could surprise us with a score.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD35 lines trackedNo line posted
14%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked35

Luke Farrell's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 35 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 14%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers Total Touchdowns — — — Pending

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About This Player

Luke Farrell (SF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luke Farrell is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.5% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons on Sunday 25 October at Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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