Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Luke Farrell is Over 1.5 on Total Touchdowns.
On Total Touchdowns, our numbers say this bet wins about 2 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 2%, implied 1%, edge +1.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 16, 9:12PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Total Touchdowns
Over 1.5
+10000 (101.00) · $100→$10,100
+1.0% Edge
Miami Dolphins
@
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 8:25PM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Farrell secured both of his targets for 19 yards in the 49ers' 27-7 win over the Rams in Week 1.
updated Sep 12, 12:06AM UTC · 4d old
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
2 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Total Touchdowns
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 2.0% · the book's price implies 1.0% · gap +1.0%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Total Touchdowns | 2.0% | — | 1.0% | 101.00 | +1.0% |
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Luke Farrell (SF) Over 1.5 Player tds over (+10000)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
San Francisco 49ers play Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Luke Farrell (SF) Over 1.5 Player tds over. It was priced at +10000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1010 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Luke Farrell's lines for Sun 20 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Total Touchdowns 1.5
Luke Farrell's total touchdowns line is 1.5.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Luke Farrell's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Anytime TD
+900 best over price · 8 books
Luke Farrell's anytime td line is posted, best over price +900 across 8 books.
Betting angles
1 market liveAnytime TDNext game · Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ersAnytime TD +750
Luke Farrell has a live NFL anytime td market for Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers priced at +750.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Luke Farrell (SF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luke Farrell is Over 1.5 on Total Touchdowns. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.0% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers on Sunday 20 September at San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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