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Model picks & player props
New York Jets
VS
Miami Dolphins

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 20, 5:53AM UTC

Our model graded 2 markets for New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins and backs Over 44.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $198.

NFL
Miami
Mon 29 Sep 2025, 11:15PM
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 44.5 Total Points -102

The model graded 2 markets for New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $198 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 29 Sep 2025, 11:15PM at Miami.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win63.6%
The price says50.5%
Best price-102

New York Jets and Miami Dolphins last met on Mon 29 Sep 2025. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Over 44.5 · $100 returned $194

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NFL market — 174 of 355 right (nfl alternate team total points overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 15
Kansas City Chiefs Over 17.5
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $136
Our call on this game: — members only · unlock tonight's call2 picks on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Over
44.5
-102
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Jets

  • Omar Cooper Jr. WROut
  • Joseph Ossai DEOut
  • Will McDonald IV DEQuestionable
  • Kene Nwangwu RBOut
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick SOut
  • Tim Patrick WROut

Miami Dolphins

  • Ronnie Harrison Jr. LBOut
  • Chop Robinson LBOut
  • Kyle Louis LBOut
  • Tucker Addington LSQuestionable
Availability updated Sep 19, 9:21PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins: Outdoors with 12 mph wind, 77°F — stronger wind and cold both nudge totals and the kicking game down, and 10 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueopen-air outdoor
Surfacenatural grass
Wind12 mph
Temperature77°F
Availability10 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMiami Dolphins to winNo line posted

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadMiami Dolphins spreadNo line posted

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsJets @ DolphinsNo line posted
8-3Free board · overs and unders
Last 107-3Home3-0Away5-3
Free board · recent overs and unders8-3

Miami Dolphins game total — on our free board this call has landed 8 of 11 times, updated every game week on BetBetter.

New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for New York Jets at Miami Dolphins — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins — recent results

Miami Dolphins have won 0 of their last 5 games; New York Jets have won 2 of their last 5.

Miami Dolphins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L13–27LVAway
L12–17ATLHome
L3–26NYGHome
L7–20WSHAway
L10–38NEAway
New York Jets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W23–10TENAway
L6–23NYGHome
W17–0PITAway
L16–24TBHome
L8–35BUFAway

Who’s out or in doubt

10 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Miami Dolphins
PlayerStatus
Ronnie Harrison Jr. LBOUT
Chop Robinson LBOUT
Kyle Louis LBOUT
Tucker Addington LSQUESTIONABLE
New York Jets
PlayerStatus
Omar Cooper Jr. WROUT
Joseph Ossai DEOUT
Will McDonald IV DEQUESTIONABLE
Kene Nwangwu RBOUT
Minkah Fitzpatrick SOUT
Tim Patrick WROUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
1
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
29 Sep 25 Total Points Over 44.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Jets vs Dolphins, or as Dolphins vs Jets. The most recent game between them was Monday 29 September 2025 at Miami. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 22 meetings on record
Miami Dolphins 16–6 across the last 22 meetings · these games average 41.6 points (meetings on record since 2015)
DateGameScoreWinner
7 Dec 2025Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets10–34Miami Dolphins
29 Sep 2025New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins27–21Miami Dolphins
5 Jan 2025Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets32–20New York Jets
8 Dec 2024New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins32–26Miami Dolphins
17 Dec 2023New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins30–0Miami Dolphins
24 Nov 2023Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets13–34Miami Dolphins
8 Jan 2023New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins11–6Miami Dolphins
9 Oct 2022Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets40–17New York Jets
19 Dec 2021New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins31–24Miami Dolphins
21 Nov 2021Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets17–24Miami Dolphins

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 22 meetings on file.

Playing fantasy? NFL fantasy projections for this week — the same model, scored your way.

Today's selected board

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