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Model picks & player props
NFL
New York
Sun 25 Oct 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Miami Dolphins
VS
New York Jets

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets and backs Miami Dolphins hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $305.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Miami Dolphins
to win
Miami Dolphins Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$30.50Best price+205
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win32.7%
The price says32.6%

The model graded 70 markets for Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $305 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 25 Oct 2026, 1:00 PM ET at New York.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Miami Dolphins Long-shot33% chance +205
Spread Members only High61% chance Members
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Long-shot29% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean56% chance Members
Receptions × 7 props Highup to 74% Members
Receptions (Alt) × 6 props Highup to 88% Members
Rushing Yards × 2 props Highup to 72% Members
Passing Yards × 1 prop Highup to 73% Members
Rushing Yards (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 89% Members
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 6 props Highup to 98% Members
Receiving Yards × 5 props Highup to 72% Members
Pass Completions × 1 prop Highup to 68% Members
Passing Yards (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 96% Members
Anytime TD × 13 props Long-shotup to 25% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Miami Dolphins and New York Jets last met on Sun 25 Oct 2026: Miami Dolphins won 28-25. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Miami Dolphins
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 72,630+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Miami DolphinsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Miami Dolphins

  • Kadyn Proctor OTOut
  • JuJu Brents CBQuestionable
  • Reese Taylor CBQuestionable

New York Jets

  • T'Vondre Sweat DTOut
  • Max Mitchell OTOut
  • Joseph Ossai DEOut
  • David Bailey LBDoubtful
  • Breece Hall RBQuestionable
  • Dylan Parham GQuestionable
  • Kiko Mauigoa LBOut
Availability updated Oct 30, 8:39PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets: Outdoors with 10 mph wind, 34°F — stronger wind and cold both nudge totals and the kicking game down, and 10 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueopen-air outdoor
Surfaceartificial turf
Wind10 mph
Temperature34°F
Availability10 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 26 Oct

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Prediction & Picks

On October 25, 2026 our model has run Miami Dolphins at New York Jets and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Mason Taylor Under 2.5 Receptions (-110), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins: Mason Taylor Under 2.5 Receptions (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Mason Taylor has had a tough time getting many catches recently. The New York Jets' passing game has shown they get more success throwing the ball compared to running it, but that still hasn't helped Taylor's numbers. With extra defenders coming after the quarterback often, he might struggle to find space for those receptions. The Miami Dolphins' defense is also no joke, especially with their ability to pressure the quarterback. With Taylor's recent form and the way both defenses are playing, betting on him to get less than 2.5 receptions makes sense. Just remember, it could go either way since the matchup is pretty close.

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins: Geno Smith Under 221.5 Passing Yards (-112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For Geno Smith to stay under 221.5 passing yards tonight, the Jets need to keep the Dolphins' defense in check. The Dolphins have been solid at getting to the quarterback, and they've won a good number of games as underdogs at home. Plus, the Jets have been more successful throwing the ball than running it lately, which may not work in their favor if Miami can disrupt the passing game. It's a close matchup, and while there's a good chance for this pick, the risk is that both defenses are tough.

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins: Garrett Wilson Under 65.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For Garrett Wilson to go under 65.5 receiving yards tonight, the Jets will need to keep the passing game in check. The Dolphins' defense has been pretty effective, especially with their quarterback facing extra pressure often. Wilson's teammate's struggles against extra rushers could limit his opportunities to make big plays. The Jets have been better at throwing than running this season, but they still face a tough matchup here. With Miami's strong defense and the chance for Wilson to see tight coverage, it could be tough for him to reach that yardage mark. Remember, a close game could mean fewer chances for Wilson to shine.

That is our read - no bet on this board is a sure thing. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · Read the full preview · Every pick for that day

Same game parlay

Written 26 Oct

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Prediction & Same Game Parlay Picks

On Monday 26 October 2026, New York Jets play Miami Dolphins in the NFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Caleb Douglas (MIA) Over 2.5 Receptions, priced at -120 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Caleb Douglas (MIA) Over 2.5 Receptions (-120)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Jets play Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sunday 25 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Caleb Douglas (MIA) Over 2.5 Receptions. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Geno Smith (NYJ) Under 20.5 Pass Completions (+103)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Jets play Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sunday 25 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Geno Smith (NYJ) Under 20.5 Pass Completions. It was priced at +103 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Geno Smith (NYJ) Under 221.5 Passing Yards (-112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Jets play Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sunday 25 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Geno Smith (NYJ) Under 221.5 Passing Yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Jets v Miami Dolphins. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · Read the full preview · Every pick for that day

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Caleb Douglas MIA Receptions
Caleb Douglas MIA Receptions (Alt)
Ollie Gordon II MIA Rushing Yards
Geno Smith NYJ Passing Yards
Ollie Gordon II MIA Rushing Yards (Alt)

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMiami Dolphins to winNo line posted

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadMiami Dolphins spreadNo line posted

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsDolphins @ JetsNo line posted

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Miami Dolphins at New York Jets — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets — recent results

New York Jets have won 1 of their last 5 games; Miami Dolphins have won 1 of their last 5.

New York Jets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L25–28MIAHome
L19–26NEAway
W17–12CLEHome
L12–23CHIAway
L24–31DETAway
Miami Dolphins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W28–25NYJAway
L24–31CINHome
L10–15MINAway
L10–24KCHome
L13–35SFAway

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: New York Jets won 0, Miami Dolphins won 1.

DateNew York JetsMiami DolphinsWinner
Oct 252528Miami Dolphins

Who’s out or in doubt

10 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Jets
PlayerStatus
T'Vondre Sweat DTOUT
Max Mitchell OTOUT
Joseph Ossai DEOUT
David Bailey LBDOUBTFUL
Breece Hall RBQUESTIONABLE
Dylan Parham GQUESTIONABLE
Kiko Mauigoa LBOUT
Miami Dolphins
PlayerStatus
Kadyn Proctor OTOUT
JuJu Brents CBQUESTIONABLE
Reese Taylor CBQUESTIONABLE

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets — model preview

New York Jets v Miami Dolphins, 26 October 2026. Top of the list: Kenyon Sadiq (NYJ) Over 2.5 Receptions. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.

On October 25, 2026 our model has run Miami Dolphins at New York Jets and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Mason Taylor Under 2.5 Receptions (-110), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Dolphins vs Jets, or as Jets vs Dolphins. The most recent game between them was Sunday 25 October 2026 at New York. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets head-to-head record

Final scores · 23 meetings on record
Miami Dolphins 17–6 across the last 23 meetings · these games average 42.1 points (meetings on record since 2015)

Last meeting: Sun 25 Oct 2026, Miami Dolphins at New York Jets: the Dolphins won 28-25.

DateGameScoreWinner
25 Oct 2026Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets25–28Miami Dolphins
7 Dec 2025Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets10–34Miami Dolphins
29 Sep 2025New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins27–21Miami Dolphins
5 Jan 2025Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets32–20New York Jets
8 Dec 2024New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins32–26Miami Dolphins
17 Dec 2023New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins30–0Miami Dolphins
24 Nov 2023Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets13–34Miami Dolphins
8 Jan 2023New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins11–6Miami Dolphins
9 Oct 2022Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets40–17New York Jets
19 Dec 2021New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins31–24Miami Dolphins

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 23 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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