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The latest Bet Better model pick for J.J. McCarthy is Over 14.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 63 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 63%, implied 60%, edge +2.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:10PM UTC
NFL

J.J. McCarthy

MIN

+2.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 14.5 -152 (1.66) · $100→$166
+2.7% Edge
Baltimore Ravens @ Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Head coach Kevin O'Connell announced Wednesday that McCarthy will serve as the Vikings' third-string quarterback for Sunday's season opener versus the Packers.
updated Sep 9, 6:45PM UTC
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
63 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 62.9% · the book's price implies 60.2% · gap +2.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards (Alt)62.9%60.2%1.59+2.7%

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AI Analysis

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J.J. McCarthy (MIN) Over 14.5 Player rush yds alternate (-152)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Given that there isn't any specific data provided regarding J.J. McCarthy's recent performance or hit rates, it's challenging to provide a comprehensive betting rationale. However, the model edge of 0.0268095312182729 does suggest that there may be a slight statistical advantage in betting on the 'Over' outcome for McCarthy's rushing yards. This is an indication that the model predicts McCarthy to exceed 14.5 rushing yards more often than implied by the odds. However, without additional context, such as McCarthy's average rushing yards per game or his performance trends, it's difficult to give a definitive rationale. It would be advisable to consider these factors, along with the specifics of the matchup (e.g., how well the Ravens' defense performs against the rush), before placing a bet. Please note that sports betting always involves a certain level of risk.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD3 lines trackedNo line posted
38%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked3

J.J. McCarthy's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 3 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 38%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards9 lines trackedNo line posted
24.5typical line · rushing yds
line range14.5–24.5model over40%tips tracked9

J.J. McCarthy's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 9 times, typically around a 24.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

J.J. McCarthy (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for J.J. McCarthy is Over 14.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a slight edge of +2.7% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Ravens vs Minnesota Vikings at Minnesota. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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