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NFL

Bryce Lance

NO

Value call

Bryce Lance has one live pick today: over 2.5 receptions that pays $464 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
21 in 100
Predicted
1.9 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 20.8% · before adjusting for past results 29.2% · the book's price implies 21.6% · gap -0.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
New Orleans · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 9:30 AM ET
Bryce Lance
over 2.5 receptions
Receptions (Alt) Over 2.5 +364 (4.64) · $100→$464
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 21 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$46.40 Odds+364
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bryce Lance is Over 2.5 on Receptions (Alt).
On Receptions (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 21 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 21%, the price says 22%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 4:46PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Lance reeled in all two targets for 12 yards during Sunday's 16-10 loss to Pittsburgh.
updated Oct 26, 11:55PM UTC · 8d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions (Alt)29.2%20.8%21.6%4.64+7.6%

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AI Analysis

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Bryce Lance (NO) Over 2.5 Player receptions alternate (+364)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New Orleans Saints play Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL on Sunday 25 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Bryce Lance (NO) Over 2.5 Player receptions alternate. It was priced at +364 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $46.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards15 lines trackedNo line posted
13.5typical line · receiving yds
line range12.5–59.5tips tracked15

Bryce Lance's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 15 times, typically around a 13.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions32 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–4.5model over51%tips tracked32

Bryce Lance's NFL receptions prop has been priced 32 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD5 lines trackedNo line posted
13%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked5

Bryce Lance's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 5 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 13%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Receiving Yards 13.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Receptions 1.5 Over +117 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Receptions (Alt) 1.5 Over +115 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Bryce Lance (NO) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bryce Lance is Over 2.5 on Receptions (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.6% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints on Sunday 25 October at New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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