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NFL

Bryce Lance

NO

Value call

Bryce Lance has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $1,050 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
8 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 8.4% · before adjusting for past results 12.1% · the book's price implies 9.5% · gap -1.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints
New Orleans · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Bryce Lance
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +950 (10.50) · $100→$1,050
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 8 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$105.00 Odds+950
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bryce Lance is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 8 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 8%, the price says 10%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 1:41AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Lance turned five targets into a seven-yard catch during the Saints' 45-24 loss to the Falcons on Monday.
updated Oct 7, 12:19AM UTC · 8d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD12.1%8.4%9.5%10.50+2.6%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

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AI Analysis

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New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings: Bryce Lance Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+900)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds on Bryce Lance scoring a touchdown are quite tempting at +900. Our numbers think he has a solid chance to find the end zone, especially since the Vikings allowed a fair number of touchdowns to tight ends last season. With the Saints playing at home, it's a good spot for Lance to make a big play. However, there is some risk here since he's not the main focus in the offense, and the Saints' quarterback has faced a decent amount of extra pressure this season. Still, if Lance gets a chance, he could definitely capitalize, making this a fun bet to consider.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards4 lines trackedNo line posted
13.5typical line · receiving yds
line range13.5–16.5tips tracked4

Bryce Lance's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 4 times, typically around a 13.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions4 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–4.5tips tracked4

Bryce Lance's NFL receptions prop has been priced 4 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
12%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2

Bryce Lance's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 12%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Oct 26 Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints Receiving Yards 14.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
05 Oct 26 Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints Receiving Yards 13.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
05 Oct 26 Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints Receptions 1.5 Under -152 ✓ HIT
05 Oct 26 Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
05 Oct 26 Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Bryce Lance (NO) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bryce Lance is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints on Sunday 11 October at New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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