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NFL

Kaelon Black

SF

Value call

Kaelon Black has one live pick today: over 29.5 rushing yards that pays $380 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
36 in 100
Predicted
30.8 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 35.6% · before adjusting for past results 46.2% · the book's price implies 26.3% · gap +9.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks
Seattle · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 4:25 PM ET
Kaelon Black
over 29.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 29.5 +280 (3.80) · $100→$380
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 36 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$38.00 Odds+280
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kaelon Black is Over 29.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 36 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 36%, the price says 26%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 9, 1:15AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Is Kaelon Black playing on Sunday? Not sure yet. Kaelon Black is listed as questionable, so it is a game-day call. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

QUESTIONABLE
Black (illness) was limited in Wednesday's practice, Cam Inman of The San Jose Mercury News reports.
updated Oct 7, 10:32PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards (Alt)46.2%35.6%26.3%3.80+19.9%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

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AI Analysis

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Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers: Kaelon Black Over 29.5 Rushing Yards (Alt) (+280)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Kaelon Black needs to rush for over 29.5 yards for this bet to win tonight. He has been getting more chances lately, and the Seahawks' defense has allowed almost 92 rushing yards per game this season. With the 49ers averaging over 21 first downs a game, they should have enough opportunities for Black to reach this mark. While the matchup is close, the Seahawks do struggle against the run at times. The biggest risk here is that if San Francisco's game plan focuses more on the pass, Black might not get the chances he needs. Still, with the way things have been going, he has a solid shot to get those rushing yards.

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Pick History & Track Record

Kaelon Black's lines for Sun 11 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 29.5
Questionable

Kaelon Black's rushing yards (alt) line is 29.5.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 4.5
Questionable

Kaelon Black's rushing yards (alt) line is 4.5.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5
Questionable

Kaelon Black's rushing yards (alt) line is 39.5.

Anytime TD
+800 best over price · 14 booksQuestionable

Kaelon Black's anytime td line is posted, best over price +800 across 14 books.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 49.5
Questionable

Kaelon Black's rushing yards (alt) line is 49.5.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 59.5
Questionable

Kaelon Black's rushing yards (alt) line is 59.5.

Betting angles

2 markets live
Anytime TDNext game · San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle SeahawksAnytime TD +800

Kaelon Black has a live NFL anytime td market for San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks priced at +800.

Rushing YardsNext game · San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle SeahawksO 29.5 +280
29.5posted line · rushing yds

Kaelon Black has a live NFL rushing yards market for San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks: over 29.5 rushing yds priced at +280.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers Rushing Yards (Alt) 9.5 Over -385 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers Rushing Yards (Alt) 4.5 Over -1429 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Kaelon Black (SF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kaelon Black is Over 29.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.9% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks on Sunday 11 October at Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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