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NFL

Bryce Young

CAR

Value call

Bryce Young has one live pick today: over 199.5 passing yards that pays $131 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
92 in 100
Predicted
245.2 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 91.7% · before adjusting for past results 94.1% · the book's price implies 76.3% · gap +15.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers
Carolina · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 8:20 PM ET
Bryce Young
over 199.5 passing yards
Passing Yards (Alt) Over 199.5 -323 (1.31) · $100→$131
Value call
HIGHWins about 92 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.10 Odds-323
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bryce Young is Over 199.5 on Passing Yards (Alt).
On Passing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 92 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 92%, the price says 76%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 9:24AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Young completed 29 of 41 passes for 329 yards and two touchdowns while rushing three times for three yards in Sunday's 32-26 win over the Lions.
updated Oct 5, 4:20AM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards (Alt)94.1%91.7%76.3%1.31+17.8%

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AI Analysis

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Carolina Panthers vs Detroit Lions: Bryce Young Over 199.5 Passing Yards (Alt) (-333)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Bryce Young has shown he can rack up passing yards, especially at home. The Lions' defense gave up over 236 yards through the air each game last season, which is a good sign for Young to have a productive day. Plus, the Panthers' offense is built to move the ball, which can help Young hit that passing yard mark. The main risk here is that Carolina's defense has struggled as well, allowing a lot of yards, which might give the Lions a chance to attack just as easily. Still, with Young's talent and the Lions' defensive weaknesses, betting on him to get over 199.5 passing yards looks promising.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards59 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · rushing yds
line range8.5–29.5model over44%tips tracked59

Bryce Young's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 59 times, typically around a 14.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Passing Yards162 lines trackedNo line posted
149.5typical line · passing yds
line range99.5–249.5model over94%tips tracked162

Bryce Young's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 162 times, typically around a 149.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many passing yards does Bryce Young average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers Passing Yards (Alt) 199.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers Passing Yards (Alt) 209.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers Rushing Attempts (Alt) 3.5 Over +168 ✗ MISS
04 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers Rushing Attempts (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Bryce Young (CAR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bryce Young is Over 199.5 on Passing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.8% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Lions vs Carolina Panthers on Sunday 4 October at Carolina. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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