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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bryce Young is Under 13.5 on Rushing Yards.
On the Rushing Yards market the model assigns a model win probability of 54%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +1.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:03PM UTC
NFL

Bryce Young

CAR

+1.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards Under 13.5 -110 (1.91)
+1.3% Edge
Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers
Carolina · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
The Panthers have officially exercised the fifth-year option on Young's rookie contract, Darin Gantt of the team's official site reports.
updated Apr 29, 6:02PM UTC · 82d old
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Model Probability
53.7%
Implied Probability
52.4%
Model Edge
+1.3%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards53.7%52.4%1.86+1.3%

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AI Analysis

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Bryce Young (CAR) Under 13.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Bryce Young to run for fewer than 13.5 yards could be a smart move, based on the statistical trends. His overall hit rate for under 13.5 yards is 50% (16/32), suggesting this is a common occurrence. This pattern becomes more apparent when focusing on recent games, as he's hit the under in 4 out of his last 5 games (overall hit rate last 5: 1/5). When playing at home, his hit rate is slightly better (7/15), suggesting he may perform less well on the rushing front in home games. His hit rate against the Atlanta Falcons is also favorable to the under, with a 33% hit rate overall (1/3), and a 100% hit rate at home (1/1). The current hit streaks also support an under bet, with all streaks at zero, except for home games against Atlanta, where he's on a streak of 1 for

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards24 lines trackedNo line posted
17.5typical line · rushing yds
line range8.5–29.5tips tracked24

Bryce Young's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 24 times, typically around a 17.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Passing Yards48 lines trackedNo line posted
189.5typical line · passing yds
line range99.5–199.5model over60%tips tracked48

Bryce Young's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 48 times, typically around a 189.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Bryce Young (CAR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bryce Young is Under 13.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers at Carolina. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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