On October 25, 2026 our model has run Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Green Bay Packers To Win (+160), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.
Every bet we like in this game
Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers: Green Bay Packers To Win (+160)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Green Bay Packers have shown they can compete with solid performances, especially as underdogs, winning eight out of eleven recent games in that role. Their quarterback has faced extra pressure on dropbacks, but he still manages to keep things moving. The Packers also have a decent record on grass, making them a tough opponent for the Lions.
The Lions have been strong at home, winning many of their games as favorites. However, their quarterback has seen extra rushers more often than the average, which could disrupt their rhythm. Given the Packers' fighting spirit and good form, they have a real chance to win this game, even if it might be close.
Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers: Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 79.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Green Bay Packers struggle to defend against wide receivers, allowing more touchdowns than most teams last season. Amon-Ra St. Brown has shown he can take advantage of this, especially with the extra pressure that both quarterbacks face. With the Lions' quarterback seeing extra rushers on nearly a third of his dropbacks, St. Brown will likely get plenty of opportunities to make big plays.
Betting on St. Brown to get over 79.5 receiving yards feels like a solid choice here. The Packers have been known to give up big games to receivers, and St. Brown is a key target for the Lions. The most concrete risk is that both teams are pretty close in performance lately, making this a tricky matchup.
Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers: Christian Watson Under 77.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Detroit Lions' defense has struggled against wide receivers, allowing over one touchdown a game last season, which could put pressure on Christian Watson. However, Green Bay's quarterback also faced extra rushers quite often, making it tougher to connect downfield. With both offenses facing strong defenses, this matchup may limit big plays.
Betting on Watson to have under 77.5 receiving yards seems like a solid choice. The Lions will likely focus on stopping him, especially since they know he's a key threat. The biggest risk is that both teams are close in quality, which could lead to unexpected plays. Still, our numbers show there's a good chance this bet could pay off.
Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers: Jordan Love Under 23.5 Pass Completions (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The game is set with the Detroit Lions facing the Green Bay Packers, and both teams have shown some struggles recently, especially in the passing game. Jordan Love, the Packers' quarterback, has faced extra pressure on many of his dropbacks this season, which can lead to fewer completions. The Lions also have a tough defense that has allowed a lot of touchdowns to wide receivers, but they can be effective in limiting completions too.
Betting on Jordan Love to complete under 23.5 passes seems like a good pick. The Lions have a solid track record at home, and Love may not find it easy against their defense. The risk is that both teams are pretty close in their performance, so it could go either way.
That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.