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Model picks & player props
Green Bay Packers
VS
Detroit Lions

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 3:54PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NFL
Detroit
Thu 27 Nov 2025, 6:00PM
18
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Detroit Lions (Moneyline)
The model graded 18 markets for Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — GOOD confidence. A $100 bet returns about $170 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 67.6%, fair odds 1.48, book price -143, model edge +8.8%. Tip-off Thu 27 Nov 2025, 6:00PM at Detroit.
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Jameson Williams Yes · $100 returned $290

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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Detroit Lions
+ 17 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Detroit LionsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Green Bay Packers

  • Javon Hargrave DTOut
  • Carrington Valentine CBQuestionable
  • Micah Parsons DEOut
  • Brant Banks OTOut
  • Tucker Kraft TEQuestionable

Detroit Lions

  • Tyler Conklin TEOut
  • Miles Kitselman TEQuestionable
  • Sione Vaki RBQuestionable
  • Anthony Firkser TEQuestionable
  • Derrick Moore DEQuestionable
  • Christian Izien SOut
  • Jimmy Rolder LBQuestionable
Availability updated Aug 10, 2:18PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions: The game is played indoor dome, so wind and rain won't touch the passing or kicking game, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueindoor dome
Surfaceartificial turf
Wind / weatherIndoors — wind and precipitation are not a factor
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: indoor and domed games remove wind and rain from the equation, which tends to support passing totals and kicking accuracy versus an exposed outdoor game.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineDetroit Lions to winNo line posted

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadDetroit Lions spreadNo line posted

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsPackers @ LionsNo line posted

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions — what the model found

Our model graded 18 betting markets for Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions — 18 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

18
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 18 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 17 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Detroit Lions
PlayerStatus
Tyler Conklin TEOUT
Miles Kitselman TEQUESTIONABLE
Sione Vaki RBQUESTIONABLE
Anthony Firkser TEQUESTIONABLE
Derrick Moore DEQUESTIONABLE
Christian Izien SOUT
Jimmy Rolder LBQUESTIONABLE
Green Bay Packers
PlayerStatus
Javon Hargrave DTOUT
Carrington Valentine CBQUESTIONABLE
Micah Parsons DEOUT
Brant Banks OTOUT
Tucker Kraft TEQUESTIONABLE

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
27 Nov 25 Moneyline Detroit Lions ✗ MISS
27 Nov 25 Total Points Under 48.5 ✗ MISS
27 Nov 25 Total Points Under 49.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Packers vs Lions, or as Lions vs Packers. The most recent game between them was Thursday 27 November 2025 at Detroit. The model has generated 18 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

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