Carnell Tate has one live pick today: under 4.5 receptions that pays $189 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
67 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 66.6% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap +13.7%.
Latest Model PickFree
Tennessee Titans
@
Indianapolis Colts
Carnell Tate
under 4.5 receptions
Receptions
Under 4.5
-112 (1.89) · $100→$189
Value call
HIGHWins about 67 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$18.90
Odds-112
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Carnell Tate is Under 4.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 67 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 67%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:42AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Carnell Tate playing on Sunday? Yes, on the latest team news. Carnell Tate is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Tate caught one of five targets for six yards in Sunday's 26-3 loss to the Texans.
updated Oct 11, 11:28PM UTC · 3d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
See every number
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receptions | 66.6% | — | 52.9% | 2.01 | +13.7% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime
Carnell Tate (TEN) Under 4.5 Receptions (-112)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Indianapolis Colts play Tennessee Titans in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Carnell Tate (TEN) Under 4.5 Receptions. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Carnell Tate's lines for Sun 18 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receptions 4.5
-109 best over price · 12 books
Carnell Tate's receptions line is 4.5, best over price -109 across 12 books.
Receiving Yards 52.5
-111 best over price · 6 books
Carnell Tate's receiving yards line is 52.5, best over price -111 across 6 books.
Receiving Yards 51.5
-111 best over price · 6 books
Carnell Tate's receiving yards line is 51.5, best over price -111 across 6 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5
Carnell Tate's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Betting angles
2 markets liveReceiving YardsNext game · Indianapolis ColtsU 52.5 -112 52.5posted line · receiving yds
Carnell Tate has a live NFL receiving yards market for Indianapolis Colts: under 52.5 receiving yds priced at -112.
ReceptionsNext game · Indianapolis ColtsU 4.5 -103 4.5posted line · receptions
Carnell Tate has a live NFL receptions market for Indianapolis Colts: under 4.5 receptions priced at -103.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 11 Oct 26 |
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans |
Receptions |
4.5 |
Under |
-108 |
✓ HIT |
| 11 Oct 26 |
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans |
Receiving Yards |
50.5 |
Under |
-112 |
✓ HIT |
| 11 Oct 26 |
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 11 Oct 26 |
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 11 Oct 26 |
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 11 Oct 26 |
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Carnell Tate (TEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Carnell Tate is Under 4.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.7% on this pick. Their next game is Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts on Sunday 18 October at Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.