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NFL

Carnell Tate

TEN

Value call

Carnell Tate has one live pick today: under 4.5 receptions that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
54 in 100
Predicted
3.8 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 54.5% · before adjusting for past results 66.1% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +1.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans
Tennessee · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Carnell Tate
under 4.5 receptions
Receptions Under 4.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 54 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Carnell Tate is Under 4.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 54%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:04PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Tate (shoulder) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Jaguars, Jim Wyatt of the Titans' official site reports.
updated Nov 13, 4:41PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions66.1%54.5%53.2%1.99+13.0%

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AI Analysis

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Tennessee Titans vs Cleveland Browns: Carnell Tate Under 4.5 Receptions (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Carnell Tate is a rookie playing for the Tennessee Titans, and he has been finding it tough to get involved in the game lately. With the Browns having a strong defense, especially in the secondary, it could be hard for him to rack up the catches. The odds suggest that there's a good chance he won't get more than 4 receptions in this game. The biggest risk here is that Tate could have a surprising breakout, but with the pressure of the Browns' defense and the fact he's still adjusting to the league, it seems likely he'll stay under that mark. Betting on him to have under 4.5 receptions feels like a smart choice for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards62 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range14.5–54.5model over97%tips tracked62

Carnell Tate's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 62 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions15 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receptions
line range4.5–4.5tips tracked15

Carnell Tate's NFL receptions prop has been priced 15 times, typically around a 4.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5 Over -909 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -1667 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans Receptions — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans Receiving Yards — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Carnell Tate (TEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Carnell Tate is Under 4.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.0% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans on Sunday 25 October at Tennessee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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