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NFL

C.J. Stroud

HOU

Value call

C.J. Stroud has one live pick today: over 189.5 passing yards that pays $118 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
83 in 100
Predicted
242.2 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 82.9% · before adjusting for past results 95.2% · the book's price implies 84.8% · gap -1.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles · Indoor
Sun 8 Nov, 4:05 PM ET
C.J. Stroud
over 189.5 passing yards
Passing Yards (Alt) Over 189.5 -556 (1.18) · $100→$118
Value call
HIGHWins about 83 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$11.80 Odds-556
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for C.J. Stroud is Over 189.5 on Passing Yards (Alt).
On Passing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 83 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 83%, the price says 85%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 14, 4:54AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards (Alt)95.2%82.9%84.8%1.18+10.5%

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AI Analysis

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Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans: C.J. Stroud Over 189.5 Passing Yards (Alt) (-556)

Odds correct at time of publishing

C.J. Stroud has been throwing the ball well lately, and he's up against a Chargers defense that struggles to pressure the quarterback effectively. The Chargers have sent extra rushers less often than the average team, which means Stroud should have time to find his targets. He's been more successful in the passing game than the Chargers' offense has been on the ground, so I like his chances to rack up the yards. The bet is for C.J. Stroud to throw for over 189.5 yards. While the Chargers' defense has shown they can be tricky at times, Stroud's ability to handle pressure gives him a solid shot at getting those yards. Just remember, if the game turns into a run-heavy battle, it could be tougher for him to reach that number.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards147 lines trackedNo line posted
24.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–49.5model over22%tips tracked147

C.J. Stroud's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 147 times, typically around a 24.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD32 lines trackedNo line posted
15%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked32

C.J. Stroud's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 32 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 15%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Passing Yards127 lines trackedNo line posted
174.5typical line · passing yds
line range124.5–256.5model over95%tips tracked127

C.J. Stroud's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 127 times, typically around a 174.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Nov 26 Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers Passing Yards (Alt) 189.5 Over -556 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers Passing Yards (Alt) 199.5 Over -417 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers Passing Yards (Alt) 179.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers Passing Yards — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers Interceptions Thrown — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers Passing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

C.J. Stroud (HOU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for C.J. Stroud is Over 189.5 on Passing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.5% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday 8 November at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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