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The latest Bet Better model pick for C.J. Stroud is Over 10.5 on Rushing Yards.
On the Rushing Yards market the model assigns a model win probability of 53%, versus the book's implied 51%, for a model edge of +2.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 25, 11:49AM UTC
NFL

C.J. Stroud

HOU

+2.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards Over 10.5 -105 (1.95)
+2.0% Edge
Arizona Cardinals @ Houston Texans
Houston · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Ahead of training camp, offensive coordinator Nick Caley notes that said he's seen Stroud take a leap this offseason, Jonathan M. Alexander of The Houston Chronicle reports.
updated Jun 26, 1:38PM UTC · 28d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
53.3%
Implied Probability
51.3%
Model Edge
+2.0%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards53.3%—51.3%1.88+2.0%

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AI Analysis

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C.J. Stroud (HOU) Over 10.5 Rushing Yards (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on C.J. Stroud for over 10.5 in the 'player_rush_yds' market for the Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals game presents a high risk, based on the provided statistics. Stroud's recent performance does not inspire confidence, with an overall hit rate of 16/46. This trend worsens when looking at his home hit rate, which stands at 6/22, and his hit rate against the Cardinals, which is 0/1. Furthermore, Stroud has failed to hit over 10.5 yards in his last 10 attempts overall, his last 10 home games, and his only game against the Cardinals. His current hit streak in all categories is 0, signaling a clear downward trend. Therefore, statistical reasoning suggests that betting on Stroud to achieve more than 10.5 rushing yards in this match might not be the most promising wager.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards10 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · rushing yds
line range9.5–24.5model over56%tips tracked10

C.J. Stroud's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 10 times, typically around a 9.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

C.J. Stroud (HOU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for C.J. Stroud is Over 10.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Cardinals vs Houston Texans at Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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