Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
NFL

Nico Collins

HOU

Value call

Nico Collins has one live pick today: under 68.5 receiving yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
60.3 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.3% · before adjusting for past results 67.7% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -2.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
Houston · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Nico Collins
under 68.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 68.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nico Collins is Under 68.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 1, 5:02AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Collins caught two of five targets for six yards in Sunday's 27-21 overtime loss to the Giants.
updated Oct 25, 9:20PM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards67.7%50.3%53.2%2.00+14.5%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Houston Texans vs New York Giants: Nico Collins Under 68.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Nico Collins has been solid lately, but he faces a tough matchup against the New York Giants. The Texans' quarterback has seen extra pressure often, which can make it harder to complete passes. With the Giants' defense focusing on shutting down the big plays, Collins might struggle to rack up receiving yards. Also, the Texans have not been great at home as underdogs, winning only a small number of their games. This close matchup means that there's a real chance Collins could fall short of 68.5 receiving yards. Betting the under on his yard total feels like a smart choice with these factors in play.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD6 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked6

Nico Collins's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 6 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards107 lines trackedNo line posted
24.5typical line · receiving yds
line range14.5–72.5model over98%tips tracked107

Nico Collins's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 107 times, typically around a 24.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions12 lines trackedNo line posted
5.5typical line · receptions
line range5.5–5.5tips tracked12

Nico Collins's NFL receptions prop has been priced 12 times, typically around a 5.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Nico Collins average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Oct 26 New York Giants @ Houston Texans Receiving Yards 68.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 New York Giants @ Houston Texans Receiving Yards 67.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 New York Giants @ Houston Texans Receiving Yards 65.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 New York Giants @ Houston Texans Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 New York Giants @ Houston Texans Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 New York Giants @ Houston Texans Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Nico Collins (HOU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nico Collins is Under 68.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.5% on this pick. Their next game is New York Giants vs Houston Texans on Sunday 25 October at Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.