Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
NFL

Nico Collins

HOU

Value call

Nico Collins has one live pick today: under 5.5 receptions that pays $195 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
4.7 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.2% · before adjusting for past results 66.5% · the book's price implies 51.3% · gap -0.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans
Tennessee · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Nico Collins
under 5.5 receptions
Receptions Under 5.5 -105 (1.95) · $100→$195
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.50 Odds-105
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nico Collins is Under 5.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 51%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 10:58PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions66.5%51.2%51.3%2.07+15.2%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans: Nico Collins Under 5.5 Receptions (-105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Nico Collins needs to catch fewer than 6 passes for this bet to win tonight. The Titans' defense has been pretty solid against wide receivers, which makes it tougher for Collins to rack up big numbers. Plus, the Titans are at home, and they usually play well in front of their fans. While Collins has shown some talent, he might struggle with the pressure from the Titans' secondary. The game could be close, and if the Texans rely more on their running game, Collins may not get the chances he needs. This bet has a good chance based on our numbers, but keep an eye on how the game unfolds.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Nico Collins's lines for Sun 11 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receptions 5.5
-105 best over price · 12 books

Nico Collins's receptions line is 5.5, best over price -105 across 12 books.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5

Nico Collins's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.

Betting angles

2 markets live
Receiving YardsNext game · Tennessee TitansO 24.5 -2000
24.5posted line · receiving yds

Nico Collins has a live NFL receiving yards market for Tennessee Titans: over 24.5 receiving yds priced at -2000.

ReceptionsNext game · Tennessee TitansU 5.5 -103
5.5posted line · receptions

Nico Collins has a live NFL receptions market for Tennessee Titans: under 5.5 receptions priced at -103.

Anytime TD6 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked6

Nico Collins's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 6 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Nico Collins average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Sep 26 Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans Receptions 5.5 Under -137 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 26 Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5 Over -417 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans Receiving Yards — — — Pending
13 Sep 26 Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans Receiving Yards — — — Pending
13 Sep 26 Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Nico Collins (HOU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nico Collins is Under 5.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.2% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans on Sunday 11 October at Tennessee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.