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The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Jacobs is Under 12.5 on Receiving Yards.
On the Receiving Yards market the model assigns a model win probability of 58%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +4.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 1:50PM UTC
NFL

Josh Jacobs

GB

+4.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards Under 12.5 -114 (1.88)
+4.6% Edge
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
Green Bay · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Jacobs is participating in Tuesday's practice, Matt Schneidman of The Athletic reports.
updated Jun 2, 4:56PM UTC · 49d old
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Model Probability
57.8%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+4.6%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards57.8%53.2%1.73+4.6%

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AI Analysis

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Josh Jacobs (GB) Under 12.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Analyzing the data, betting on Josh Jacobs to stay under 12.5 receiving yards is statistically sound. Jacobs has been underperforming lately, with a current hit streak of zero and failing to cross the 12.5 yard mark in his last five games overall (0/5) and at home (1/5). His hit rates over the last 10 and 20 games are also not impressive, at 2/10 and 5/20 respectively. Looking at his overall performance, Jacobs hit the mark only 17 out of 55 times, which is less than a third. At home, his performance is slightly better, but still under 50% at 9/27. The model edge of 0.046 indicates that the betting model also sees value in this under bet. Given these statistics, it's reasonable to bet on Jacobs staying under 12.5 receiving yards in the upcoming game against the Carolina Panthers.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards11 lines trackedNo line posted
13.5typical line · receiving yds
line range9.5–29.5tips tracked11

Josh Jacobs's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 11 times, typically around a 13.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Josh Jacobs (GB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Jacobs is Under 12.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.6% on this pick. Their next game is Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers at Green Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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