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NFL

Josh Jacobs

GB

Value call

Josh Jacobs has one live pick today: under 15.5 rushing attempts that pays $183 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
62 in 100
Predicted
13.5 rushing attempts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 62.0% · before adjusting for past results 71.7% · the book's price implies 54.6% · gap +7.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots
New England · Indoor
Sun 8 Nov, 4:25 PM ET
Josh Jacobs
under 15.5 rushing attempts
Rushing Attempts Under 15.5 -120 (1.83) · $100→$183
Value call
HIGHWins about 62 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.30 Odds-120
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Jacobs is Under 15.5 on Rushing Attempts.
On Rushing Attempts, our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 62%, the price says 55%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:03PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Jacobs underwent surgery on his fractured right ring finger Friday and "should be back in the next few weeks," Tom Pelissero of Netflix reports.
updated Nov 14, 2:26PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Attempts71.7%62.0%54.6%1.94+17.0%

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AI Analysis

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New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers: Josh Jacobs Under 15.5 Rushing Attempts (-125)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Josh Jacobs has been finding it tough to get going lately, especially against strong defenses. The New England Patriots are known for their tough pass rush, which has made it hard for opposing running backs to rack up rushing attempts. With Jacobs facing this challenge, betting on him to go under 15.5 rushing attempts feels like a smart move. The Patriots have been effective at limiting rushing plays, making it tricky for Jacobs to find his rhythm. While he might have his moments, the risk here is that the Patriots' strong defense will force the team to rely on the pass more. With the numbers showing a good chance for this bet, it could be worth a look.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards45 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · receiving yds
line range8.5–59.5model over50%tips tracked45

Josh Jacobs's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 45 times, typically around a 9.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions2 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range2.5–3.5tips tracked2

Josh Jacobs's NFL receptions prop has been priced 2 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards13 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · rushing yds
line range9.5–47.5model over99%tips tracked13

Josh Jacobs's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 13 times, typically around a 9.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many rushing yards does Josh Jacobs average?How many receiving yards does Josh Jacobs average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Nov 26 Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots Rushing Attempts 15.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots Rushing Yards 47.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots Receiving Yards 21.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Jacobs (GB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Jacobs is Under 15.5 on Rushing Attempts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.0% on this pick. Their next game is Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots on Sunday 8 November at New England. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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