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NFL

Josh Jacobs

GB

Value call

Josh Jacobs has one live pick today: under 9.5 receiving yards that pays $193 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
48 in 100
Predicted
14.0 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 48.1% · before adjusting for past results 63.0% · the book's price implies 51.8% · gap -3.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions
Detroit · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 4:25 PM ET
Josh Jacobs
under 9.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 9.5 -108 (1.93) · $100→$193
Value call
LEANWins about 48 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.30 Odds-108
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Jacobs is Under 9.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 48%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:25PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$20,973 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Jacobs is active for Sunday's game against the Lions.
updated Oct 25, 6:58PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards63.0%48.1%51.8%2.04+11.2%

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AI Analysis

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Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers: Josh Jacobs Under 9.5 Receiving Yards (-108)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Josh Jacobs has been struggling to find his groove lately, and that might continue against the Lions. The Lions' defense has been solid, making it tough for opponents to rack up big receiving yards. With Jacobs facing a strong defensive front, it's hard to see him breaking through for more than 9.5 yards. While he has the talent, the matchup doesn't favor him with Detroit's strong pass defense. Plus, Jacobs hasn't been the main target in the passing game, which adds to the risk of him falling short. Our numbers suggest this bet has a good chance, but remember, it could easily go the other way if Jacobs has a breakout game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards28 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · receiving yds
line range8.5–59.5model over50%tips tracked28

Josh Jacobs's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 28 times, typically around a 9.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many rushing yards does Josh Jacobs average?How many receiving yards does Josh Jacobs average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Oct 26 Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5 Over +1240 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5 Over +2200 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5 Over +630 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions Receiving Yards — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions Receiving Yards — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Jacobs (GB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Jacobs is Under 9.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.2% on this pick. Their next game is Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions on Sunday 25 October at Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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