Of our last 628 graded player prop tips, 51% got a better price than where the market closed.
NFL Player Props · Updated daily in season
NFL Player Props Today — Free Prop Bets for Every Game
NFL player props today: every prop bet on the board, priced and ranked best first. All 1,899 are below, 50 to a page. Top prop free.
The NFL prop lines are on the board
Books have priced 32 players across 9 prop markets for the 1 game ahead. These are the most widely priced lines right now — our model's ranked picks land here the day it has enough to say.
| Player | Market | Line | Best price | Books |
|---|
| Oscar Delp | Anytime TD | — | +1900 | 14 |
| Barion Brown | Anytime TD | — | +1800 | 14 |
| Kaden Wetjen | Anytime TD | — | +1500 | 14 |
| Aaron Rodgers | Anytime TD | — | +1300 | 14 |
| Noah Fant | Anytime TD | — | +800 | 14 |
| Bryce Lance | Anytime TD | — | +750 | 14 |
| CJ Donaldson | Anytime TD | — | +550 | 14 |
| Tyler Shough | Anytime TD | — | +450 | 14 |
| Alvin Kamara | Anytime TD | — | +330 | 14 |
| Darnell Washington | Anytime TD | — | +310 | 14 |
| Juwan Johnson | Anytime TD | — | +310 | 14 |
| Pat Freiermuth | Anytime TD | — | +300 | 14 |
| Devaughn Vele | Anytime TD | — | +290 | 14 |
| Rico Dowdle | Anytime TD | — | +275 | 14 |
| Germie Bernard | Anytime TD | — | +240 | 14 |
| Chris Olave | Anytime TD | — | +190 | 14 |
| Kendre Miller | Anytime TD | — | +180 | 14 |
| DK Metcalf | Anytime TD | — | +165 | 14 |
Compare every book’s price on the live NFL odds board, screen hot streaks in the prop screener, or start with our free NFL pick.
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ML models
10k+
Sims per game
See verified results
1899 props on the board, and the 3 strongest are free
The prop we'd back first · Miami Dolphins at New York Jets
Caleb Douglas Over 2.5 receptions -116
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win44.7%
The price says53.8%
$50 returns$93.00
The rest of the boardfull reasoning on each prop below
| MIA v NYJ |
Caleb Douglas Over 2.5 receptions |
Lean45% chance |
-116 |
| PIT v NO |
Germie Bernard Under 4.5 receptions |
Lean46% chance |
+118 |
| SF v ATL |
Receptions (alt) |
Long-shot30% chance |
Members |
| CIN v BAL |
Receptions (alt) |
Long-shot25% chance |
Members |
| IND v MIN |
Pass completions |
High62% chance |
Members |
| TB v CAR |
Receptions |
Lean42% chance |
Members |
| CLE v TEN |
Receiving yards |
Lean51% chance |
Members |
| NYG v HOU |
Receptions |
Lean42% chance |
Members |
| DEN v ARI |
Rushing yards |
Lean52% chance |
Members |
| GB v DET |
Receiving yards |
Lean51% chance |
Members |
| LAR v LV |
Receiving yards |
Lean51% chance |
Members |
| KC v SEA |
Rushing yards (alt) |
High97% chance |
Members |
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
No props match that.
Try another game or market, or .
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 4.3%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 9.1%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 52.6%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 5.9%
Questionable
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
Questionable
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 52.1%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 12.3%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 47.6%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 90.1%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 66.7%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 54.4%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 54.4%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 81.3%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 90.9%
Questionable
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 76.9%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 6.5%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 48.1%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 91.7%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 52.4%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 4.3%
Questionable
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 52.9%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 5.0%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 60.6%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 63.7%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 50.8%
Questionable
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 90.9%
Questionable
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 91.7%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 92.6%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 92.6%
Questionable
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 36.0%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 92.6%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 5.3%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 52.6%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 90.9%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 5.9%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 85.5%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 89.3%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 82.0%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 29.7%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 5.6%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 41.0%
Questionable
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 7.1%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 84.8%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 93.5%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 79.4%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 93.5%
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Quick answer
What is an NFL player prop bet?
An NFL player prop bet is a wager on a single player statistic, such as passing yards, receptions, or touchdowns.
It is settled independently of the game winner, which makes props useful when you want to target a specific role,
matchup, or usage trend rather than the final score.
Probability vs odds
Edge calculation
Bankroll discipline
| Market |
What it measures |
Typical intent |
| Passing yards | QB volume and efficiency | Matchup driven |
| Receptions | Target share and route role | Usage driven |
| Rushing yards | Carry volume and game script | Game flow driven |
| Anytime TD | Scoring opportunity | Red zone driven |
Why our props have an edge
20
ML Models
Our edge is built in house. Each model is trained and evaluated per league.
10k+
Simulations
Games are simulated at scale to estimate distributions and probabilities.
AI
Reasoning
Every pick pairs the model's chance and value call with plain-English AI analysis.
How we decide which NFL props are worth a look
Every price a sportsbook posts is really a guess about how often something happens. Our model makes its own guess from the player's recent games, his role, the defence he faces and the weather, then compares the two. When the model thinks something happens more often than the price says, that prop makes the board. The board shows every line, the best price across the books, and how often the player has cleared it lately, for free. Which side the model backs, and why, is for Pro members.
If you want the deeper framework, see our actuarial sports betting methodology.
Example in plain English
Say a receiver's line is 59.5 yards at a price that means "about a coin flip". If our model makes it closer to 6 chances in 10, that is a gap worth knowing about. A gap is not a guarantee. It is the thing we grade in public, week after week, so you can see whether the gaps were real.
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