Here are our NFL picks for Friday 11 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Jordan Mason (MIN) Under 44.5 Rushing Yards, priced at -115 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Jordan Mason (MIN) Under 44.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Minnesota Vikings play Green Bay Packers in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jordan Mason (MIN) Under 44.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Cam Ward (TEN) Under 202.5 Passing Yards (-112)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Tennessee Titans play New York Jets in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Cam Ward (TEN) Under 202.5 Passing Yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Dallas Goedert (PHI) Under 35.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Philadelphia Eagles play Washington Commanders in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Dallas Goedert (PHI) Under 35.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Tyler Warren (IND) Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Indianapolis Colts play Baltimore Ravens in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tyler Warren (IND) Over 47.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Saquon Barkley (PHI) Under 75.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Philadelphia Eagles play Washington Commanders in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Saquon Barkley (PHI) Under 75.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Brenton Strange (JAX) Under 36.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Jacksonville Jaguars play Cleveland Browns in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Brenton Strange (JAX) Under 36.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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