On Sunday 25 October 2026, Hull City play Brentford in the EPL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 4.5 Total Cards, priced at -154 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Hull City vs Brentford: Under 4.5 Total Cards (-154)
Odds correct at time of publishing Heading into this matchup, both Hull City and Brentford have shown a tendency to keep their games relatively clean. Hull's recent home outings have averaged just 0.4 goals conceded, and interestingly, their last five matches have produced a total of only 3.0 cards per game. Meanwhile, Brentford's away form has mirrored this trend, with 3.0 cards on average in their last five away matches. Both teams are struggling to find the net consistently, which typically leads to fewer fouls and cards. With Hull averaging just 1 goal at home and Brentford managing 1.2 away, the match is likely to be more tactical than fiery. Given these factors, betting on 'Under 4.5 cards' seems like a smart play, as the statistics hint at a game where both sides focus more on containment than aggression.
Hull City vs Brentford: Under 3.5 Total Goals (-208)
Odds correct at time of publishing When Hull City takes on Brentford, all signs point to a tight, low-scoring affair. Both teams have been struggling to find the back of the net lately. Hull's last five home matches saw them averaging just one goal per game, while their opponents were only netting 0.4 goals against them. Similarly, Brentford's away form paints a grim picture, with a meager 1.2 goals scored in their last five matches. Looking at the expected goals (xG) numbers, both sides are creating chances but failing to convert, leading to a stark trend of unders. Hull's defensive solidity at home, combined with Brentford's recent struggles, suggests that the 3.5 goal line is quite ambitious. With both teams showing a tendency to grind out results rather than blow the scoreline wide open, the "Under 3.5" option feels like the smart play here.
Hull City vs Brentford: Under 2.5 Total Goals (+124)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Hull City prepares to face Brentford, the narrative leans towards a low-scoring affair. Hull's recent home form illustrates a troubling trend-they've averaged just a single goal per match at home, while their opponents have only managed 0.4. The xG numbers reveal a stark reality: both teams are struggling to create clear chances, with Hull showing an average of zero xG in their last five outings. Brentford's away form mirrors this struggle, scoring 1.2 goals per match but facing an opponent average of 1.8 against them. When you combine Hull's inability to break through defenses with Brentford's lack of offensive flair on the road, it's hard to envision a high-scoring game. Given these dynamics and both sides' propensity for defensive play, betting on 'Under 2.5' goals seems like a wise move for this matchup.
Hull City vs Brentford: Under 4.5 Total Goals (-556)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Hull City prepares to host Brentford, the evidence strongly points toward a low-scoring affair. Hull's recent form at home has seen them struggle to find the net, averaging just one goal while conceding 0.4 at home over their last five. Their xG numbers reflect a lack of creativity, hovering around zero, which is echoed in Brentford's away performances, where they've averaged only 1.2 goals per game and also failed to generate significant scoring chances. Both teams are exhibiting a tendency to grind games out rather than engage in an all-out offensive battle, evident from Hull's last five matches that featured an average of 1.4 goals conceded. With both defenses stepping up and a dearth of attacking flair, betting on under 4.5 goals feels prudent as we anticipate a tightly contested matchup, likely falling well below that mark.
Lucas Herrington (Hull City) Over 0.5 Shots (+135)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Hull City prepares to host Brentford, Lucas Herrington presents an intriguing opportunity for bettors looking at the player total shots market. Although his recent stats show a mere 0.2 shots per game overall, the narrative shifts when he's on home turf. Hull needs creativity, especially against a Brentford side that can be vulnerable defensively. Herrington has been known to step up in pivotal moments, and with the added motivation of playing in front of the home crowd, it's reasonable to expect him to break his recent slump. While he hasn't registered shots recently, this is the kind of matchup where players often find their rhythm. The low line of 0.5 makes this bet enticing-sometimes, all it takes is one moment of brilliance to push that tally over the line. With the odds favoring a potential breakout, Herrington could just surprise us when it matters most.
Hull City vs Brentford: Over 7.5 Total Corners (-417)
Odds correct at time of publishing When Hull City hosts Brentford, we're likely to see plenty of action on the flanks, leading to a high corner count. Hull has averaged around 3 corners per home match, and with Brentford's penchant for attacking, we can expect them to contribute their fair share, too. The Bees average 3 corners on the road. Both sides are struggling defensively, conceding goals and shots, which suggests they'll be under pressure and defending deep. Hull's last five matches have been corner-heavy affairs, and Brentford's tendency to push forward will further amplify this. With each team generating over 11 shots per game lately, it's reasonable to anticipate that they'll earn at least 8 corners combined. Given the stakes and both teams' need to create chances, going over 7.5 corners feels like a savvy bet.
That is how our model reads Hull City v Brentford. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.