On Sunday 25 October 2026, Crystal Palace play Newcastle United in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Crystal Palace +0 Goal Handicap, priced at +100 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United: Crystal Palace +0 Goal Handicap (+100)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Crystal Palace prepares to host Newcastle, there's a palpable sense of momentum in the air. Despite a mixed bag of results, the Eagles have shown resilience at Selhurst Park, averaging 1.8 goals at home recently, while Newcastle's away struggles have been evident, managing just one goal per game on the road. Palace's xG numbers, while not shining, highlight their attacking intent; they take around 12.4 shots per match, creating opportunities that could exploit Newcastle's leaky defense. The Magpies, on the other hand, have conceded an average of 2.2 goals away, suggesting they're vulnerable. Given their head-to-head record-Palace has edged this matchup recently-and the home advantage, backing Crystal Palace at a level handicap feels prudent. They're primed to turn their home ground into a fortress, and a draw or win seems very much on the cards.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United: Over 1.5 Total Goals (-588)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Crystal Palace welcomes Newcastle United, the stage is set for a lively encounter, and betting on over 1.5 goals seems a smart move. Both teams have shown an inclination towards goals lately; Palace averages 1.8 scored at home, while their defense concedes 2.4. Newcastle, despite a struggling offense, has given up an alarming 2.2 goals per away game. Recent matchups between the two hint at an entertaining dynamic, with their last five encounters yielding a mix of close calls and goal-fests, resulting in 2-1 and 3-2 outcomes. With xG figures indicating potential for scoring on both sides, it's hard to imagine this clash not breaking the 1.5 goal barrier. Given the teams' recent trends and attacking potential, there's every reason to expect a lively scoreboard this Sunday.
That is how our model reads Crystal Palace v Newcastle United. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.