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Model picks & player props
Soccer
Selhurst Park, London
Outdoor
Sun 25 Oct 2026, 2:00 PM UK time
Newcastle United
2-2-1 · 1-0-1 awayDWDLW
VS
Crystal Palace
1-1-3 · 0-0-2 at homeLLWLD

Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Picks · Sun 25 Oct

Our model graded 11 markets for Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace and backs Newcastle United 2.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $104.

11
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Newcastle United
with a 2.5-goal head start
Newcastle United 2.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$10.40Best price-2500
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win91.4%
The price says88.5%

The model graded 11 markets for Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $104 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 25 Oct 2026, 2:00 PM UK time at Selhurst Park.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Newcastle United 2.5 High91% chance -2500
Draw No Bet Members only Lean48% chance Members
Total Goals Members only High83% chance Members
Both Teams to Score Members only High62% chance Members
Head to Head (3-Way) Members only Long-shot36% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot36% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Newcastle United are the model's favourite to beat Crystal Palace, with a 61% chance to win. Kick-off Sun 25 Oct, 2:00 PM UK time at Selhurst Park. Best bet: Newcastle United 2.5 at -2500.
How they've been scoring this season
Newcastle UnitedCrystal Palace
Won-drawn-lost2-2-11-1-3
Goals scored per game1.81.2
Goals allowed per game1.82.2
On the road / at home1-0-1 away0-0-2 at home
Last 5 gamesDWDLWLLWLD
Their games average 3.5 total goals this season.
From the 5 Newcastle United and 5 Crystal Palace games on our books this season.
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Newcastle United
+2.5
+ 10 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Crystal PalaceDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Crystal PalaceHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Crystal PalaceMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Newcastle United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Crystal Palace

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Same game parlay

Written 11 Oct

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks

On Sunday 11 October 2026, Crystal Palace play Newcastle United in the EPL. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Crystal Palace Draw No Bet, priced at -104 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United: Crystal Palace Draw No Bet (-104)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Crystal Palace gears up to face Newcastle United, the home advantage could be pivotal, especially considering their recent head-to-head record against the Magpies, where they’ve secured two wins in the last five encounters. While Palace's recent form at home shows a struggle with just one win in their last five, they’ve faced tough competition and maintained a decent goal average of 1.2. Newcastle, on the other hand, has not been prolific on the road, averaging only 0.8 goals away from home. The underlying stats suggest that Palace's xG might be a bit misleading due to their quality chances created. With Newcastle’s defensive vulnerabilities evident, backing Palace in the Draw No Bet market presents a solid opportunity. Should they find their scoring boots, they might just turn this encounter into a much-needed win.

That is how our model reads Crystal Palace v Newcastle United. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk

Betting angles

4 markets live
MoneylineNewcastle United @ Crystal Palace+155
9-6-5Crystal Palace form 2024-25
Home form9-6-5

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United moneyline; the model reads Crystal Palace's win chance at 39% for this fixture.

Draw No BetNewcastle United @ Crystal Palace-104
52%Crystal Palace win %
Home GF/g1.5

Crystal Palace to win with the stake returned on a draw; the model prices this at 52%.

Both Teams to ScoreNewcastle United @ Crystal Palace-200
65%both teams score %
Crystal Pa55%

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United both-teams-to-score angle; our model makes both teams scoring 65% here.

Total GoalsNewcastle United @ Crystal PalaceOver +1.5 -588
84%model over %
Home ov2.545%

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United total-goals angle; the model prices Over at 84% here.

Newcastle United @ Crystal Palace — what the model found

Our model graded 11 betting markets for Newcastle United at Crystal Palace — 11 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

11
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 11 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 10 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Newcastle United @ Crystal Palace — model preview

Crystal Palace v Newcastle United, 11 October 2026. Top of the list: Crystal Palace Draw No Bet. Our model likes one bet in this game.

On Sunday 11 October 2026, Crystal Palace play Newcastle United in the EPL. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Crystal Palace Draw No Bet, priced at -104 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United: Crystal Palace Draw No Bet (-104)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Crystal Palace gears up to face Newcastle United, the home advantage could be pivotal, especially considering their recent head-to-head record against the Magpies, where they’ve secured two wins in the last five encounters. While Palace's recent form at home shows a struggle with just one win in their last five, they’ve faced tough competition and maintained a decent goal average of 1.2. Newcastle, on the other hand, has not been prolific on the road, averaging only 0.8 goals away from home. The underlying stats suggest that Palace's xG might be a bit misleading due to their quality chances created. With Newcastle’s defensive vulnerabilities evident, backing Palace in the Draw No Bet market presents a solid opportunity. Should they find their scoring boots, they might just turn this encounter into a much-needed win.

That is how our model reads Crystal Palace v Newcastle United. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace in the Soccer. You may also see this matchup written as United vs Palace, or as Palace vs United. The next scheduled game is Sunday 25 October 2026 at Selhurst Park. The model has generated 11 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace head-to-head record

Final scores · 24 meetings on record
Newcastle United 10–6 across the last 24 meetings · 8 draws · these games average 2.1 goals (meetings on record since 2013)

Last meeting: Sun 12 Apr 2026, Newcastle United at Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace won 2-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
12 Apr 2026Newcastle United @ Crystal Palace2–1Crystal Palace
4 Jan 2026Crystal Palace @ Newcastle United2–0Newcastle United
16 Apr 2025Crystal Palace @ Newcastle United5–0Newcastle United
30 Nov 2024Newcastle United @ Crystal Palace1–1Draw
24 Apr 2024Newcastle United @ Crystal Palace2–0Crystal Palace
21 Oct 2023Crystal Palace @ Newcastle United4–0Newcastle United
21 Jan 2023Newcastle United @ Crystal Palace0–0Draw
3 Sep 2022Crystal Palace @ Newcastle United0–0Draw
20 Apr 2022Crystal Palace @ Newcastle United1–0Newcastle United
23 Oct 2021Newcastle United @ Crystal Palace1–1Draw

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 24 meetings on file.

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