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NFL

Houston Texans

Next game: the Texans play at the Titans on Sunday 11 October. They have covered the spread in 4 of their last 10 regular-season games. See the game preview

Won-lost0-4
At home0-3
Points a game21.0
Last 4LLLL
Next Game: vs Tennessee Titans (Away) Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET Tennessee Game preview ›

Today's Game Pick

Our callFree
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans
over 22.5 points
Over 22.5 Alternate Team Total Points
LONG-SHOT
Our numbers say this wins about 31 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $450 if it lands
You bet$10 If it wins$45.00 Odds+350
See why we picked it

Our model gives it about a 31% chance to land; the price says about 21%. That gap is why it made the board.

+19.7%
Free pick — today's headline bet on this team

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Model updated Oct 10, 9:41PM UTC
Answer
The Houston Texans model is leaning the over in the Alternate Team Total Points market vs Tennessee Titans.
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Every game bet, checked by our model

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
Alternate Team Total PointsWith Pro
Total PointsWith Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
SpreadWith Pro
Team TotalWith Pro

The model has graded 5 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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How the price moved

When prices opened: Houston Texans about 7 in 10 to win.

All NFL odds this week →

Houston Texans same game parlay

With Pro

Our model's same game parlay for Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET. 3 legs:

Tony Pollard · rushing yards
Tennessee Titans · team total points
Elic Ayomanor · receptions

See each leg's pick, line and price, and what it pays, with Pro.

Unlock this parlay

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No parlay is a sure thing — longer combinations pay more exactly because they lose more often.

Texans schedule and results, 2026

Results and upcoming games
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotalGame
Sun 13 Sepvs Buffalo BillsL 31-36Missed (underdog by 1.5)Over 44.5Game page
Sun 20 Sepvs Cincinnati BengalsL 6-20Missed (favourite by 3)Under 45.5Game page
Sun 27 Sepat Indianapolis ColtsL 17-19Missed (favourite by 1.5)Under 41.5Game page
Sun 4 Octvs Dallas CowboysL 30-34Missed (favourite by 3)Over 48.5Game page
Sun 11 Octat Tennessee TitansUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview
Sun 18 Octat Jacksonville JaguarsUpcoming · 9:30 AM ET––Preview
Sun 25 Octvs New York GiantsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Sun 8 Novat Los Angeles ChargersUpcoming · 4:05 PM ET––Preview
Sun 15 Novat Cleveland BrownsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Thu 19 Novvs Indianapolis ColtsUpcoming · 8:15 PM ET––Preview
Sun 29 Novvs Baltimore RavensUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview
Sun 6 Decat Pittsburgh SteelersUpcoming · 8:20 PM ET––Preview
Sun 13 Decat Washington CommandersUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Sun 20 Decvs Jacksonville JaguarsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview
Thu 24 Decat Philadelphia EaglesUpcoming · 8:15 PM ET–––
Mon 4 Janat Green Bay PackersUpcoming · 8:15 PM ET–––
Sun 10 Janvs Tennessee TitansUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview

Spread and total are the main closing lines just before the start. Team results only; these are not Bet Better’s picks.

How often the Texans cover the spread

Team history

In the 2025 regular season the Texans covered the spread in 9 of 17 games: 5 of 9 at home and 4 of 8 away. Their games went over the total 6 times in 17. So far in 2026: covered in 0 of 4, and over in 2 of 4.

SeasonCovered at homeCovered awayCovered, allOver at homeOver awayOver, all
2026 (so far)0 of 30 of 10 of 42 of 30 of 12 of 4
20255 of 94 of 89 of 174 of 92 of 86 of 17
20243 of 8 (1 push)4 of 97 of 17 (1 push)1 of 8 (1 push)5 of 96 of 17 (1 push)
20234 of 95 of 89 of 173 of 93 of 86 of 17
20223 of 85 of 9 (1 push)8 of 17 (1 push)3 of 84 of 97 of 17
20215 of 93 of 88 of 176 of 92 of 88 of 17
What do these numbers mean?

Bookmakers give the weaker team a head start called the spread. A team covers when it wins by more than the spread, or loses by less than its head start. A push is a tie with the line, so bets were refunded. The total is the bookmakers' line for points in the game; over means the game finished above it. We count the main closing line just before the start, complete seasons only, plus this season so far.

Team history, counted from final scores. Not Bet Better’s picks.

What the Texans defense gives up

  • Number 3 for most passing yards given up to quarterbacks this season: 278 a game.
  • Number 2 for most receiving yards given up to wide receivers this season: 208 a game.

See every NFL defense vs position

Texans injuries

Updated 10 Oct
PlayerPositionStatusInjuryExpected back
Braden SmithOTInjured reserveFootabout 18 Oct
Jaylin SmithCBInjured reserveHamstringabout 15 Nov
Tank DellWRInjured reserveKnee - acl + mclabout 18 Oct
Aireontae ErseryOTQuestionableIllnessabout 11 Oct
Blake FisherOTQuestionableIllnessabout 11 Oct
Ed IngramGQuestionableIllnessabout 11 Oct
Kayden McDonaldDTQuestionableAnkleabout 11 Oct
M.J. StewartSQuestionableKneeabout 11 Oct

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Roof
Closed
Surface
Turf
NRG Stadium
Indoor venue — wind and temperature are not a factor.
Season-pending — reflects the most recent scheduled home fixture on file, not necessarily a live upcoming game.

Betting angles

1 market live
Moneylinevs Tennessee TitansNo line posted

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point Spreadvs Tennessee TitansNo line posted

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsGame totalOver 38.5 -105
69%over %

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Questions about the Texans

When do the Texans play next?

The Texans play at the Tennessee Titans on Sunday 11 October 2026.

How often do the Texans cover the spread?

In the 2025 regular season the Texans covered the spread in 9 of 17 games: 5 of 9 at home and 4 of 8 away. So far in 2026: covered in 0 of 4.

How often do Texans games go over the total?

In the 2025 regular season, Texans games went over the total 6 times in 17. So far in 2026: over in 2 of 4.

Who is injured for the Texans?

8 players are on the injury list as of 10 October: Braden Smith (foot), Jaylin Smith (hamstring), Tank Dell (knee - acl + mcl), Aireontae Ersery (illness), Blake Fisher (illness), and 3 more.

Where can I see the Texans' next game preview?

Bet Better's Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans game page has the preview and the latest prices. Open the game page

About This Team

Houston Texans are tracked by the Bet Better model across NFL games. Their next game is against Tennessee Titans on Sunday 11 October. Use the data above to inform your NFL betting decisions for Houston Texans.

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