On Sunday 11 October 2026, Liverpool play Brighton and Hove Albion in the EPL. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -588 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Liverpool vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Over 1.5 Total Goals (-588)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Liverpool gears up to face Brighton, the stage is set for an exhilarating clash. Despite a somewhat shaky record at home lately, where they've managed just two wins in their last five, their offensive prowess remains undeniable. Liverpool averages 1.4 goals per game at Anfield, with their opponents struggling to keep them at bay, conceding an average of one goal per match. Brighton, while not the most prolific, will likely find opportunities against a Reds defense that has shown vulnerability. With Liverpool's recent matches averaging around 15 shots per game, it’s clear they create chances aplenty. The expected goals (xG) narrative further supports this, as Liverpool consistently pushes the envelope. Expect fireworks!
That is how our model reads Liverpool v Brighton and Hove Albion. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.