AFL
Sydney Swans
Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.
Next Game:
vs Adelaide Crows (Home)
Fri 17 Jul, 9:40AM
SCG, Sydney · Outdoor
Model updated Jul 16, 9:49AM UTC
Answer
The Sydney Swans model is leaning Sydney Swans on the spread in the Spread market vs Adelaide Crows.
11 tracked player props · exact probability, edge and line unlock with a subscription.
Spread
Sydney Swans -12.5
Free pick — today's headline game edge
You're seeing today's free headline pick. Unlock the full model write-up, every other game market and all player props for this team.
Unlock full analysis
Cancel anytime.
Every player prop for this team — line, odds, pick and edge — is ready for subscribers. Today's headline game pick above is free.
Unlock all props
Cancel anytime.
| Market | Model output |
|---|
| Spread | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Spread Q3 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points H2 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points H1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Spread Q2 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q3 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Spread Q4 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Spread | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Team Total Points H1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
Full model-edge table — 11 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.
Unlock full edge tableCancel anytime.
Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.
| Date | Opponent | Market | Pick | Result |
|---|
Betting angles
10 markets liveLinevs Adelaide Crows-12.5 -111+18.5% edge 71%cover %
-9.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickSydney Swans -12.5PF/G85.4PA/G94.6L50-5
Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows on Jul 17 - Line: the model's pick is Sydney Swans -12.5 at -111, a 71% cover % (+18.5% edge). Sydney Swans are averaging 85.4 points for and 94.6 against over their last five games.
Total pointsvs Adelaide Crows179.5 -111+12.2% edge 65%under %
168.6proj. total pts
Model pickUnder 179.5PF/G85.4PA/G94.6L50-5
Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows on Jul 17 - Total points: the model's pick is Under 179.5 at -111, a 65% under % (+12.2% edge). Sydney Swans are averaging 85.4 points for and 94.6 against over their last five games.
Team total 1st halfvs Adelaide Crows47.5 -120+1.9% edge 57%under %
44.8proj. team pts (half)
Model pickSydney Swans Under 47.5PF/G85.4PA/G94.6L50-5
Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows on Jul 17 - Team total 1st half: the model's pick is Sydney Swans Under 47.5 at -120, a 57% under % (+1.9% edge). Sydney Swans are averaging 85.4 points for and 94.6 against over their last five games.
Total 1st halfvs Adelaide Crows89.5 -115+6.7% edge 60%under %
84.3proj. half pts
Model pickUnder 89.5PF/G85.4PA/G94.6L50-5
Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows on Jul 17 - Total 1st half: the model's pick is Under 89.5 at -115, a 60% under % (+6.7% edge). Sydney Swans are averaging 85.4 points for and 94.6 against over their last five games.
Total 2nd halfvs Adelaide Crows89.5 -112+7.2% edge 60%under %
84.3proj. half pts
Model pickUnder 89.5PF/G85.4PA/G94.6L50-5
Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows on Jul 17 - Total 2nd half: the model's pick is Under 89.5 at -112, a 60% under % (+7.2% edge). Sydney Swans are averaging 85.4 points for and 94.6 against over their last five games.
Total Q1vs Adelaide Crows45.5 -112+6.3% edge 59%under %
42.2proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 45.5PF/G85.4PA/G94.6L50-5
Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows on Jul 17 - Total Q1: the model's pick is Under 45.5 at -112, a 59% under % (+6.3% edge). Sydney Swans are averaging 85.4 points for and 94.6 against over their last five games.
Total Q3vs Adelaide Crows45.5 -112+6.3% edge 59%under %
42.2proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 45.5PF/G85.4PA/G94.6L50-5
Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows on Jul 17 - Total Q3: the model's pick is Under 45.5 at -112, a 59% under % (+6.3% edge). Sydney Swans are averaging 85.4 points for and 94.6 against over their last five games.
Line Q2vs Adelaide Crows-2.5 -118+5.6% edge 60%cover %
-9.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickSydney Swans -2.5PF/G85.4PA/G94.6L50-5
Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows on Jul 17 - Line Q2: the model's pick is Sydney Swans -2.5 at -118, a 60% cover % (+5.6% edge). Sydney Swans are averaging 85.4 points for and 94.6 against over their last five games.
Line Q3vs Adelaide Crows-3.5 -112+8.9% edge 62%cover %
-9.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickSydney Swans -3.5PF/G85.4PA/G94.6L50-5
Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows on Jul 17 - Line Q3: the model's pick is Sydney Swans -3.5 at -112, a 62% cover % (+8.9% edge). Sydney Swans are averaging 85.4 points for and 94.6 against over their last five games.
Line Q4vs Adelaide Crows-2.5 -115+6.2% edge 60%cover %
-9.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickSydney Swans -2.5PF/G85.4PA/G94.6L50-5
Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows on Jul 17 - Line Q4: the model's pick is Sydney Swans -2.5 at -115, a 60% cover % (+6.2% edge). Sydney Swans are averaging 85.4 points for and 94.6 against over their last five games.
For & against (last 5 games)
Sydney Swans are averaging 85.4 points for and 94.6 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 0-5 record.
Sydney Swans are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Adelaide Crows on Friday 17 July at SCG. The model currently tracks 11 player props for Sydney Swans in this game. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Sydney Swans.