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AFL

Sydney Swans

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Port Adelaide Power (Home) Sat 8 Aug, 6:15AM SCG, Sydney · Outdoor
Model updated Aug 5, 12:13PM UTC
Answer
The Sydney Swans model is leaning Port Adelaide Power in the Head to Head market vs Port Adelaide Power.
9 tracked player props · exact probability, edge and line unlock with a subscription.

Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Moneyline
Port Adelaide Power
Odds: +410
Model prob: 36.5%
+16.9%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Today's Player Props

Edge in green
PlayerStatModel output
Dane Rampe Disposals Line, odds & edge locked
James Jordon Disposals Line, odds & edge locked
Hayden McLean Goals Line, odds & edge locked
Callum Mills Disposals Line, odds & edge locked
Isaac Heeney Disposals Line, odds & edge locked
Jai Serong Disposals Line, odds & edge locked

Every player prop for this team — line, odds, pick and edge — is ready for subscribers. Today's headline game pick above is free.

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
Spread Q4Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Head to HeadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread Q3Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Team Total Points H1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread Q2Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread Q3Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread Q4Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread Q2Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Team Total Points Q1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Team Total Points H1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total PointsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Team Total Points Q1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Points H2Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Points H1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Points Q1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Points Q3Probability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 16 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Typical conditions recorded at this team's matches:
Mostly Sunny
37% of games
Rain
23% of games
Overcast
18% of games
Sunny
10% of games
Clear Night
6% of games
Mostly Clear
5% of games
Average 19°C at these grounds
Historical ground conditions (not a live forecast).

Model Performance History

All results →
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateOpponentMarketPickResult

Betting angles

11 markets live
Moneylinevs Port Adelaide Power+410
+9.8avg margin (L5)
Model pickPort Adelaide Power to winPF/G93.0PA/G83.2L50-5

Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Aug 8 - Moneyline: the model's pick is Port Adelaide Power to win at +410, a 37% model win % (LONG-SHOT). Sydney Swans are averaging 93.0 points for and 83.2 against over their last five games.

Total pointsvs Port Adelaide Power177.5 -114
65%under %
166.6proj. total pts
Model pickUnder 177.5PF/G93.0PA/G83.2L50-5

Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Aug 8 - Total points: the model's pick is Under 177.5 at -114, a 65% under % (LEAN). Sydney Swans are averaging 93.0 points for and 83.2 against over their last five games.

Team total 1st halfvs Port Adelaide Power52.5 -115
71%under %
43.4proj. team pts (half)
Model pickSydney Swans Under 52.5PF/G93.0PA/G83.2L50-5

Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Aug 8 - Team total 1st half: the model's pick is Sydney Swans Under 52.5 at -115, a 71% under % (HIGH). Sydney Swans are averaging 93.0 points for and 83.2 against over their last five games.

Team total Q1vs Port Adelaide Power26.5 -112
66%under %
21.7proj. team pts (quarter)
Model pickSydney Swans Under 26.5PF/G93.0PA/G83.2L50-5

Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Aug 8 - Team total Q1: the model's pick is Sydney Swans Under 26.5 at -112, a 66% under % (HIGH). Sydney Swans are averaging 93.0 points for and 83.2 against over their last five games.

Total 1st halfvs Port Adelaide Power88.5 -118
60%under %
83.3proj. half pts
Model pickUnder 88.5PF/G93.0PA/G83.2L50-5

Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Aug 8 - Total 1st half: the model's pick is Under 88.5 at -118, a 60% under % (LEAN). Sydney Swans are averaging 93.0 points for and 83.2 against over their last five games.

Total 2nd halfvs Port Adelaide Power88.5 -115
60%under %
83.3proj. half pts
Model pickUnder 88.5PF/G93.0PA/G83.2L50-5

Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Aug 8 - Total 2nd half: the model's pick is Under 88.5 at -115, a 60% under % (LEAN). Sydney Swans are averaging 93.0 points for and 83.2 against over their last five games.

Total Q1vs Port Adelaide Power45.5 -120
61%under %
41.6proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 45.5PF/G93.0PA/G83.2L50-5

Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Aug 8 - Total Q1: the model's pick is Under 45.5 at -120, a 61% under % (LEAN). Sydney Swans are averaging 93.0 points for and 83.2 against over their last five games.

Total Q3vs Port Adelaide Power45.5 -120
61%under %
41.6proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 45.5PF/G93.0PA/G83.2L50-5

Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Aug 8 - Total Q3: the model's pick is Under 45.5 at -120, a 61% under % (LEAN). Sydney Swans are averaging 93.0 points for and 83.2 against over their last five games.

Line Q2vs Port Adelaide Power-8.5 -115
70%cover %
+9.8avg margin (L5)
Model pickSydney Swans -8.5PF/G93.0PA/G83.2L50-5

Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Aug 8 - Line Q2: the model's pick is Sydney Swans -8.5 at -115, a 70% cover % (HIGH). Sydney Swans are averaging 93.0 points for and 83.2 against over their last five games.

Line Q3vs Port Adelaide Power-9.5 -116
72%cover %
+9.8avg margin (L5)
Model pickSydney Swans -9.5PF/G93.0PA/G83.2L50-5

Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Aug 8 - Line Q3: the model's pick is Sydney Swans -9.5 at -116, a 72% cover % (HIGH). Sydney Swans are averaging 93.0 points for and 83.2 against over their last five games.

Line Q4vs Port Adelaide Power-9.5 -111
72%cover %
+9.8avg margin (L5)
Model pickSydney Swans -9.5PF/G93.0PA/G83.2L50-5

Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Aug 8 - Line Q4: the model's pick is Sydney Swans -9.5 at -111, a 72% cover % (HIGH). Sydney Swans are averaging 93.0 points for and 83.2 against over their last five games.

For & against (last 5 games)

Sydney Swans are averaging 93.0 points for and 83.2 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 0-5 record.

0-5
Last 5
93.0
Points For / G
83.2
Points Against / G
+9.8
Margin / G
14.0
Goals / G
9.0
Behinds / G
56.8
Inside 50s / G

About This Team

Sydney Swans are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 8 August at SCG. The model currently tracks 9 player props for Sydney Swans in this game. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Sydney Swans.

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