Justin McInerney (Sydney Swans) Under 23.5 Disposals (-125)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
When it comes to Justin McInerney's performance at home, the stats paint a clear picture. Over his last five home games, he's been solid but hasn't quite hit the mark we're looking for. Averaging 26 disposals in those games, he's fallen short of the 23.5 line, making the under a tempting bet. McInerney's recent form against the upcoming opponent also suggests he may not reach that mark, with an average of just 16.6 disposals in his last five matchups against them at home. While his overall stats are strong, with an average of 25.8 disposals, his recent turnover rate of 3.6 per game could be a factor. With a model predicting him at 20.3 disposals, the under 23.5 line seems like a smart play for this clash at the SCG.