Justin McInerney (Sydney Swans) Over 14.5 Disposals (-769)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Justin McInerney's recent form, especially in home games, supports betting on him to surpass 14.5 disposals against Essendon. With a model predicting him to hit 20.8 disposals and a consistent average of 22 disposals in his last 5 home games, McInerney's high disposal efficiency (71.7%) and ability to gain meters (346 avg) make this bet appealing. Against Essendon, he has averaged 19.5 disposals in his last 5 home matches, adding further weight to this bet. McInerney's current hit streak of 9 in home games and a hit rate of 14/15 overall strengthen the confidence in this pick. This data-driven analysis suggests McInerney is poised to continue his impressive disposal output at the SCG.