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AFL

Will Hayward

Carlton

+6.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -294 (1.34)
+6.7% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne
Thu 16 Apr, 9:30AM
Model Probability
81.3%
Implied Probability
74.6%
Model Edge
+6.7%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals

AI Analysis

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Will Hayward (Carlton) Over 0.5 Goals (-294)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Will Hayward's recent form, he's been buzzing around the forward line creating chances like a seasoned pro. With an average of 1.6 shots on goal in his last five home games and a solid goal accuracy of 30.0%, he's been knocking on the door. Hayward's been involved in the Blues' scoring plays, averaging 3.8 score involvements per game. Facing Collingwood, against whom he's bagged an average of 1 goal in their last five encounters, the stage is set for Hayward to make an impact. The numbers suggest he's due to snag one, especially with the Blues enjoying home advantage at the MCG. Betting on Hayward to snag over 0.5 goals feels like a safe bet given his recent performances and historical matchup data.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 75.0% (3/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 25 Sydney Swans @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -345 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 25 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
06 Jul 25 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Will Hayward (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (3/4). The latest model pick for Will Hayward is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.7% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues on Thursday 16 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.