Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Will Hayward is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 70%, implied 71%, edge +12.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 25, 2:48PM UTC
AFL

Will Hayward

Carlton

+12.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -250 (1.40) · $100→$140
+12.0% Edge
Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 9:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
83 in 100
Predicted
1.3 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 83.4% · the book's price implies 71.4% · gap +12.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals83.4%70.0%71.4%1.43+12.0%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Will Hayward (Carlton) Over 0.5 Goals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to pinpointing a player who's primed to snag a goal in the upcoming clash between St Kilda and Carlton, Will Hayward stands out as a top contender. In his last five away games, Hayward has been a consistent threat in front of the big sticks, averaging 1 goal per game. Facing off against St Kilda, a team where he has historically scored well with an average of 2 goals in their last five encounters, the stage is set for Hayward to shine again. With a solid average of 1.8 shots on goal per away game and an impressive 53.3% goal accuracy, Hayward's ability to impact the scoreboard is evident. Add in his knack for being involved in the scoring plays with 3.4 score involvements on average, and it's clear why backing Hayward to go over 0.5 goals is a smart bet for this matchup.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Will Hayward averaged 12.2 disposals, 1.6 goals and 4.4 marks per game across 26 games in 2024.

12.2
Disposals
1.6
Goals
4.4
Marks
2.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Will Hayward recorded 6 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Brisbane Lions6112
20 Sep 24Port Adelaide15085
7 Sep 24GWS GIANTS11231
24 Aug 24Adelaide Crows11050
16 Aug 24Essendon16373
9 Aug 24Collingwood14341
3 Aug 24Port Adelaide11130
28 Jul 24Western Bulldogs8122
21 Jul 24Brisbane Lions17261
13 Jul 24North Melbourne8033
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Will Hayward (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Will Hayward is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.0% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 9 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.