AFL

Collingwood Magpies

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results

Next Game: vs Hawthorn Hawks (Away) Sat 15 Aug, 9:40AM MCG, Melbourne · Outdoor

Model updated Aug 10, 3:47PM UTC

Answer

The Collingwood Magpies model is leaning Hawthorn Hawks on the spread in the Spread market vs Hawthorn Hawks.

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Today's Game Pick

Model edge

Spread

Hawthorn Hawks -18.5

Odds: -112

Model prob: 64.5% · a $100 bet returns about $189 if it lands

+11.6%

Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair

Market	Model output
Spread	Probability, fair odds & edge locked

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Availability

Roster status

Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions

Typical conditions recorded at this team's matches:

Mostly Sunny

37% of games

Rain

28% of games

Overcast

16% of games

Mostly Clear

7% of games

Sunny

6% of games

Clear Night

6% of games

Average 18°C at these grounds

Historical ground conditions (not a live forecast).

Model Performance History

All results →

4

Total Picks

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Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Date	Opponent	Market	Pick	Result
09 Aug 26	West Coast Eagles	Moneyline	West Coast Eagles	✗ MISS
09 Aug 26	West Coast Eagles	Spread	West Coast Eagles +9.5	✗ MISS
09 Aug 26	West Coast Eagles	Spread	West Coast Eagles +8.5	✗ MISS
09 Aug 26	West Coast Eagles	Spread Q2	West Coast Eagles 1.5	✗ MISS

Betting angles

1 market live

Line

Linevs Hawthorn Hawks-18.5 -112

65%cover %

+6.6avg margin (L5)

Model pickHawthorn Hawks -18.5PF/G90.4PA/G83.8L50-5

Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks on Aug 15 - Line: the model's pick is Hawthorn Hawks -18.5 at -112, a 65% cover % (LEAN). Collingwood Magpies are averaging 90.4 points for and 83.8 against over their last five games.

Recent form

For & against (last 5 games)

Collingwood are averaging 90.4 points for and 83.8 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 0-5 record.

0-5

Last 5

90.4

Points For / G

83.8

Points Against / G

+6.6

Margin / G

13.6

Goals / G

8.8

Behinds / G

51.6

Inside 50s / G

About This Team

Collingwood Magpies are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 15 August at MCG. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Collingwood Magpies.

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